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No. 8 Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt NCAA Football Picks

The conference rival Tennessee and Vanderbilt are set to renew hostilities when they meet at FirstBank Stadium.

(Photo by Getty Images) Dylan Sampson
Matchup: Tennessee Volunteers vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Game Date: Saturday, November 30, 2024

Venue: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN

Broadcast: ABC

Betting Odds: Tennessee (-10.5)

Total Points Line: 48

The Tennessee Volunteers, boasting a record of 9-2, are set to clash with the Vanderbilt Commodores (6-5) at FirstBank Stadium on Saturday, November 30, 2024. The Commodores are currently positioned as 10.5-point underdogs according to Bovada betting lines, with a projected total of 48.0 points for the game.

Heading into this contest, the Tennessee Volunteers have had a strong season at 9-2 so far. In their most recent outing, they dominated the UTEP Miners with a decisive victory, ending the game at 56-0. The Volunteers executed 68 offensive plays, racking up a total of 460 yards. On the ground, they carried the ball 39 times, accumulating 241 yards at an impressive average of 6.2 yards per carry. The defense held opponents to 81 rushing yards on 38 attempts (2.1 yards per carry) and allowed 21 completions for 149 passing yards at a completion rate of 58.3%.

In terms of offensive production, the Tennessee Volunteers average 37.4 points per game. They rank 9th nationally in rushing, averaging 227.5 yards on the ground, which contributes to their impressive 5,017 total yards this season. They have built an offense that has scored 17 touchdowns through the air and 32 on the ground. Furthermore, Tennessee has achieved 259 first downs offensively and has incurred 86 penalties totaling 717 yards, with 13 turnovers given to opposing teams.

Defensively, the Volunteers are currently ranked 4th in college football in opponent scoring, allowing an average of just 13.1 points per game. They have restricted rival teams to just 2.8 yards per carry and 98.8 yards rushing per game. Over 11 games, Tennessee has conceded 1,087 yards on the ground and ranks 28th nationally with 2,041 passing yards allowed, culminating in 185.5 passing yards given up per contest with a completion percentage of 57.6%. Overall, their average yards allowed per game stand at 284.3, placing them 6th in the nation, having surrendered 8 rushing touchdowns and 8 passing touchdowns.

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The Vanderbilt Commodores come into this game with a record of 6-5. In their previous match, they suffered a narrow defeat against the LSU Tigers, finishing 24-17. This game saw Vanderbilt allow 139 rushing yards on 32 attempts (4.3 yards per carry). Their pass defense struggled, permitting a completion rate of 75.7%, yielding 332 yards from 28 completions on 37 attempts. Vanderbilt managed to total 308 yards offensively and ran 48 plays at an average of 6.4 yards per play, with their rushing attack averaging 5.1 yards per carry for 122 yards on 24 carries.

When assessing their scoring capabilities, the Commodores rank 77th nationally, averaging 27.0 points per game. Vanderbilt’s offense averages 329.2 yards per outing, placing them at 116th in the country. They have committed 57 penalties leading to 548 yards lost, ranked 100th in this category. The Commodores have thrown 3 interceptions and lost 3 fumbles while achieving 201 first downs. Currently this season, Vanderbilt has accumulated 2,058 passing yards at an average of 187.1 yards per game—ranking 108th in Division 1—and 142.1 rushing yards per game with a total of 1,563 yards on the ground.

Defensively, the Commodores have conceded 1,359 rushing yards (123.5 yards per game) and 13 rushing touchdowns so far this season. In terms of passing defense, they have allowed 17 touchdowns and 236.6 passing yards per game, placing them 95th nationally. Vanderbilt’s defense has recorded 4 fumble recoveries and 8 interceptions this season. With a total of 674 plays in which their defense has participated, this ranks them 22nd in Division 1. The Commodores allow an average of 21.9 points per game, placing them at 39th in Division 1. Throughout the year, they have given up 241 points in total.

Free Prediction: Take the Vanderbilt Commodores (+10.5)

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