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North Texas (11-1) at Tulane (10-2)
- When: Dec 5 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
- Where to watch: ABC
- Last Meeting: Tulane 45-37, October 26th, 2024
(24) North Texas vs (20) Tulane Preview & Prediction
Spread: North Texas -2.5
Moneyline: North Texas (-136)
Total: 66.5
North Texas Mean Green Betting Breakdown
North Texas heads into the AAC Championship with one more job to finish before Eric Morris heads off to Oklahoma State. The Mean Green have been an offensive battering ram all season, stacking 50 or more points eight times and showing zero interest in slowing down. Even knowing their coach is leaving, the locker room seems locked in on breaking more program history.
The Mean Green are chasing their first ever 12 win season, and Morris has the offense humming with one of the most balanced attacks in the country. Freshman running back Caleb Hawkins has turned into a touchdown machine, leading all of FBS with 23 scores on the ground and posting four separate four touchdown explosions. Meanwhile, freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker has smashed the conference record books with more than 3800 passing yards in year one.
Weather may play a role with possible heavy rain in New Orleans, but North Texas has shown they can lean on the run game if the field turns into a swamp.
North Texas Player Prop Pick: Caleb Hawkins Over 125.5 Rushing Yards – The freshman is the centerpiece of this offense and should be featured early and often regardless of weather.
Tulane Green Wave Betting Breakdown
Tulane is also juggling a coaching transition, but Jon Sumrall will remain at the helm through the title game before settling into his new job at Florida. The Green Wave players asked him to stay and coach this championship, and the team seems energized by the continuity.
Tulane is 6 0 at home this year and has reached the AAC title game for the fourth straight season, establishing a rare level of stability in the conference. Sumrall believes the potential rain could benefit his club by slowing down North Texas’ explosive aerial attack.
Offensively, Tulane relies heavily on BYU transfer Jake Retzlaff, who has been a red zone wrecking ball with a school record 14 rushing touchdowns by a quarterback. Tulane will try to control tempo, shorten drives, and make this a physical game rather than a track meet.
Tulane Player Prop Pick: Jake Retzlaff Anytime Touchdown Scorer – With 14 quarterback rushing scores, Tulane will dial up his legs near the goal line again.
Expert Prediction & Betting Angle
North Texas has the more explosive offense, but the potential weather and Tulane’s home field advantage tighten this matchup. The Mean Green’s balance gives them the edge in the long run.
Final Score: North Texas 34, Tulane 27
Lean: North Texas -2.5
Total: Under 66.5
- NCAA Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
