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NY Mets (63-54) at Milwaukee (72-44)
- When: Aug 10 2025, 2:10 PM
- Where: American Family Field, Milwaukee
- Where to watch: FDSWI
Mets vs. Brewers – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Milwaukee -118
Spread: Milwaukee -1.5 (+174)
Total: 8.0
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Breakdown
Milwaukee is on a heater, chasing their ninth straight win and the series sweep. They’ve been nearly untouchable, going 11-1 in their last 12 games and boasting MLB’s best record at 72-44. What makes this run impressive is the balance, they’re winning blowouts and tight games, scoring seven-plus runs in some and grinding out low-scoring wins in others.
Even without injured outfield star Jackson Chourio, the Brewers are 8-1, with William Contreras and company keeping the offense rolling. Contreras’ two-run homer Saturday capped a wild seventh inning that turned the game around, helped in part by a pitch-clock miscue from the Mets’ bullpen.
On the mound is Quinn Priester (11-2, 3.15 ERA), who’s been automatic lately. He’s won 10 straight decisions and has a 2.45 ERA over his last 12 appearances. Priester has never beaten the Mets but comes in as one of baseball’s hottest pitchers.
New York Mets Betting Breakdown
The Mets are trending the wrong way, losers of six straight and 10 of their last 11. Their once-solid NL East position has crumbled, and they’re now clinging to the final Wild Card spot.
Defensive miscues and wasted opportunities have defined this skid. Saturday’s game saw Pete Alonso tie Darryl Strawberry for the franchise home run record with his 252nd blast, but two costly fielding errors helped Milwaukee flip the scoreboard.
Sean Manaea (1-1, 3.52 ERA) takes the ball, looking to rebound from a rough outing against Cleveland where he allowed five runs in under six innings. His history vs. Milwaukee isn’t great, 1-2 with a 5.48 ERA in five career meetings and he’ll need to be sharp to keep the Brewers’ bats in check.
Prediction & Betting Angle
The Brewers have all the momentum, the hotter arm on the mound, and home-field advantage. The Mets are bleeding games and struggling to close innings without mistakes. Unless Manaea finds early rhythm, Milwaukee’s lineup could pressure him into another short outing. Priester’s form suggests runs will be at a premium if Milwaukee plays clean defense.
Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 2
Pick: Milwaukee (-118)
Total: Under 8.0 (-105)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!