Ohio State (13-2-0) at Notre Dame (14-1-0)
- When: Jan 20 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- Where to watch: ESPN
Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Ohio State (#8) @ Notre Dame (#7)
Moneyline
Ohio State (#8) -400
Notre Dame (#7) +300
Ohio State (#8) @ Notre Dame (#7)
Point Spread
Ohio State (#8) -8.5 (-115)
Notre Dame (#7) 8.5 (-105)
Ohio State (#8) @ Notre Dame (#7)
Total
Over 45.5 (-105)
Under 45.5 (-115)
- Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
Passing Team Leaders:
Ohio State: Will Howard 3779 Yds
Notre Dame : Riley Leonard 2606 Yds
Team Stats
| Ohio State | Notre Dame | |
| 13-2 | Record | 14-1 |
| 5-1 | Away | 7-0 |
| 9-6-0 | ATS | 13-2-0 |
| 7-8-0 | O/U | 8-7-0 |
Last Matchup:
Ohio State 17-14, September 23rd, 2023
Game Preview
The College Football Playoff National Championship game pits two defensive powerhouses, Ohio State and Notre Dame, in what promises to be a hard-fought battle. With the Buckeyes favored by 8.5 points and a relatively low total of 45.5, bettors are eyeing a showdown featuring elite defenses and standout offensive stars.
Key Matchups to Watch
1. Jeremiah Smith vs. Leonard Moore
Ohio State’s freshman sensation, Jeremiah Smith, enters the game with 1,227 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns this season. While Texas managed to hold him to just one catch in the semifinals, his presence opened up opportunities for other Buckeye playmakers. Notre Dame’s standout freshman cornerback Leonard Moore will be tasked with slowing Smith down. Moore, with 10 pass breakups and two interceptions, is part of a Fighting Irish secondary that ranks second nationally in pass defense, allowing just 165.3 yards per game.
However, Ohio State offensive coordinator Chip Kelly has emphasized that Smith is focused on contributing in whatever way necessary to secure a championship win. If Notre Dame double-teams Smith, expect players like Carnell Tate and Emeka Egbuka to capitalize on open looks.
2. Quarterback Showdown: Will Howard vs. Riley Leonard
Ohio State’s Will Howard has been stellar throughout the playoffs, completing nearly 74% of his passes for 919 yards, six touchdowns, and just two interceptions. His precision and ability to spread the ball make him a difficult matchup for any defense.
On the other side, Notre Dame’s Riley Leonard has been steady but less explosive. While his arm has been serviceable, his ability to extend plays with his legs adds an extra dimension. Leonard has 866 rushing yards this season and two rushing touchdowns in the playoffs. However, facing the Buckeyes’ top-ranked scoring defense (12.2 points allowed per game), Leonard will need to be at his best to keep Notre Dame competitive.
3. Running Game Dynamics
The Buckeyes’ run game, led by TreVeyon Henderson, has been a key weapon throughout the season. Henderson’s 75-yard screen-pass touchdown in the semifinals demonstrated his ability to make game-changing plays. Meanwhile, Notre Dame’s Jeremiyah Love has been quieter in the playoffs, rushing for just 65 yards over the last two games. Without starting left tackle Anthonie Knapp, Notre Dame’s offensive line could struggle against Ohio State’s ferocious front.
Betting Trends and Predictions
Spread (Ohio State -8.5):
Ohio State’s balanced attack and suffocating defense give them a clear edge in this matchup. The Buckeyes have been dominant in their playoff run, defeating Tennessee, Oregon, and Texas by double digits. While Notre Dame’s defense has been strong, their offense has been inconsistent, especially against elite opponents. Expect Ohio State to pull away late and cover the spread.
Total (Over 45.5):
Both teams boast top-tier defenses, but the Buckeyes’ explosive offense should push the total over. With Smith, Egbuka, and Henderson providing big-play potential, Ohio State is capable of scoring in bunches. Notre Dame may struggle offensively but should find some success with Leonard’s mobility and their efficient kicking game. The game likely finishes in the 48-52 point range.
Player Prop to Watch:
Jeremiah Smith Over 75.5 Receiving Yards
After being neutralized by Texas, expect Smith to bounce back in a big way. With the championship on the line, the Buckeyes will find creative ways to get their star freshman involved early and often.
The Buckeyes’ superior firepower and ability to adapt offensively make them the clear choice. While Notre Dame’s defense will keep them in the game early, Ohio State’s depth and talent should lead to a comfortable win and another championship for the Buckeyes.
CFP Championship Game Parlay Picks & Predictions
Final Score: Ohio State 31-20
Expert Pick: Ohio State -8½ (-115) & Over 45½ (-105)
A $100 Parlay Bet will return $365
- CFP Championship Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
