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Nuggets vs Thunder Odds Picks and Score Prediction

Thunder favored but Nuggets at home can cover. Expert picks spread total and score.

(Photo by Getty Images) Nikola Jokic
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Oklahoma City (38-11) at Denver (33-16)

  • When: Feb 1 2026, 9:30 PM
  • Where: Ball Arena, Denver, CO, USA
  • TV: NBC/Peacock

Oklahoma City vs Denver Preview & Prediction

Spread: Oklahoma City -8.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-280)
Total: 222.5

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

Denver looked like it might wobble when Nikola Jokic went down with a knee issue late December, but the Nuggets quietly stayed afloat. Going 10–6 without the engine of the offense told you everything you needed to know about this roster’s depth and composure.

Now Jokic is back, and unsurprisingly, it did not take long for him to remind everyone who runs the league. He stepped straight into the lineup and casually dropped 31 points and 12 rebounds in limited minutes, like he had just taken a long coffee break instead of missing weeks. Denver instantly looks more organized, more confident, and far more dangerous with him orchestrating everything.

Jamal Murray deserves credit for holding things together during Jokic’s absence. He is having the most productive scoring season of his career and has proven he can shoulder the load when needed. Even with some injury questions elsewhere in the rotation, Denver’s core is intact, experienced, and battle tested at home.

From a betting perspective, this is a classic Nuggets spot. They may not dominate wire to wire, but they rarely fold on their own floor. Getting points at home against a banged up opponent is exactly where Denver tends to deliver value.

Denver Player Prop Pick Nikola Jokic over 24.5 points
He is back, he is aggressive, and Oklahoma City’s frontcourt depth is thin. Expect Jokic to attack early and often.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

Oklahoma City rolls into Denver as the superior team on paper and the clear favorite on the spread. Even with several rotation pieces sidelined, this group continues to play fast, disciplined, and ruthless on both ends.

The entire operation revolves around Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has been nothing short of dominant all season. He controls tempo, hunts mismatches, and lives at the free throw line. When games tighten up, the Thunder trust him to close, and more often than not, he delivers.

Chet Holmgren adds another layer with rim protection and floor spacing, while Isaiah Hartenstein gives Oklahoma City extra muscle on the glass now that he is back in the rotation. Even short handed, this team executes at a high level and rarely beats itself.

The concern from a betting angle is margin. Oklahoma City is good enough to win this game, but winning by separation in Denver is never easy. Expect control, not dominance.

Oklahoma City Player Prop Pick Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points
Denver struggles containing elite shot creators, and Shai’s usage remains sky high.

NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction

Oklahoma City is the better team right now and should find a way to win, but Denver is far too tough at home to roll over. Jokic’s presence alone keeps this competitive deep into the fourth quarter.

Oklahoma City survives. Denver cashes. Everybody wins except the sportsbooks.

Final Score: Thunder 112, Nuggets 108
Lean: Denver +8.0
Total: 
Under 222.5 

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