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Oklahoma City (26-3) at San Antonio (21-7)
- When: Dec 23 2025, 8:30 PM
- Where: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX, USA
- TV: FDSOK
Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Preview & Prediction
Spread: Oklahoma City -5.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-200)
Total: 233.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown
Oklahoma City walks into this matchup like the kid who gets straight As, sits in the front row, and reminds the teacher about homework. The Thunder are 26 and 3, leading the West, leading the league, and leading every power ranking imaginable. On paper, they are supposed to show up, do their job, and leave San Antonio with another win and polite applause.
But cracks are showing. Oklahoma City has dropped two of its last four games, which for this team feels like a full blown crisis. Injuries are piling up, rotations are being patched together, and now they have to deal with a motivated Spurs team that already beat them once this season.
Shai Gilgeous Alexander remains spectacular. He scores at will, rebounds like a forward, and glides through defenses like he has cheat codes enabled. The problem is that he might have to do too much again. Several key pieces are questionable, and playing shorthanded on the road against a hot team is never ideal.
Yes, Oklahoma City is favored by five and a half. Yes, the total is sitting at 233.5. And yes, this feels like the kind of spot where the Thunder are supposed to flex their superiority. Which is exactly why gamblers should pause.
San Antonio Spurs Breakdown
San Antonio is no longer playing the role of plucky rebuild. They are winning. A lot. Six straight wins and thirteen victories in their last sixteen meaningful games have suddenly turned the Spurs into a real problem.
This team already took down Oklahoma City once in a high pressure environment. That matters. Confidence matters. Muscle memory matters. And nothing fuels belief like knowing you already punched the giant and lived to tell the story.
DeAaron Fox has been the engine, pushing pace and closing games. The supporting cast has stepped up in waves, including clutch fourth quarter scoring that keeps defenses guessing. Victor Wembanyama is still working back to full strength, but even limited minutes of his presence warp the floor and scare everyone within ten feet of the paint.
San Antonio is also at home, riding momentum, and playing loose. No expectations. No pressure. Just vibes, ball movement, and a growing sense that they are ahead of schedule.
Betting Outlook and Final Prediction
Oklahoma City being favored makes sense. They are the better team on paper. But betting is not about paper. It is about spots, rhythm, and timing.
This is a letdown spot for the Thunder and a statement opportunity for the Spurs. Expect a competitive game that stays tight deep into the fourth quarter, where energy, depth, and confidence tilt the scales.
The total suggests a fast paced shootout, and points should come in bunches. But when it comes time to make winning plays, San Antonio has shown they are not afraid.
Final Score: Spurs 118, Thunder 114
Lean: San Antonio (+170)
Total: Under 233.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
