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Oregon State (17-15) vs Gonzaga (28-3)
- When: Mar 9 2026, 9:00 PM
- Where: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
Oregon State vs (12) Gonzaga Preview & Prediction
Spread: Gonzaga -19.0
Moneyline: Gonzaga (-5000)
Total: 145.5
Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Breakdown
Ah now, Gonzaga enters this semifinal with the swagger of a club that has owned the West Coast Conference for the better part of three decades. The Bulldogs are chasing what could be their final WCC tournament crown before heading off to the rebuilt Pac 12, and they arrive with a sparkling 28 and 3 record.
The man at the heart of the operation is Graham Ike, the WCC Player of the Year and one of the most productive big men in the country. Ike is averaging 19.7 points per game while pulling down 8.3 rebounds and shooting a blistering 56.4 percent from the field. Across his college career he has stacked up 2,492 points and 1,118 rebounds, numbers that put him among the most accomplished active players in the nation.
From a betting perspective, Ike has absolutely tormented Oregon State in recent meetings. His last three games against the Beavers produced scoring totals of 35, 26, and 22 points. If Gonzaga establishes its usual tempo and inside dominance, the Bulldogs could quickly justify their hefty spread.
The only lingering concern for Gonzaga is the absence of Braden Huff, who averages 17.8 points and has missed the past 13 games with a knee injury. Even so, Mark Few’s squad has continued to roll through the conference with a deep and efficient attack.
Gonzaga Player Prop Pick: Graham Ike Over 20.5 Points – Ike dominates Oregon State historically, scoring 35, 26, and 22 in recent matchups while leading Gonzaga offense.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Breakdown
Oregon State arrives in the semifinal after surviving a dramatic 78 to 77 victory over San Francisco. The Beavers showed resilience after a slow start, eventually building a nine point lead before barely holding off a furious late rally.
Emotion has been running high within the program. Longtime head coach Wayne Tinkle was dismissed in late February but will remain on the bench through the postseason. The Beavers have rallied around the situation, hoping to extend their season while preparing to return to the Pac 12 next year.
One of the key contributors in their quarterfinal win was Josiah Lake II, who poured in 18 points and provided a major offensive spark. Oregon State will need a similar effort if it hopes to stay competitive against Gonzaga’s high powered attack.
The challenge, however, is quite steep. Gonzaga defeated Oregon State 81 to 61 earlier this season, and the Bulldogs have controlled much of this matchup over the past two years. If the Beavers are to keep this game respectable, they will need strong perimeter shooting and efficient scoring from players like Lake.
Oregon State Player Prop Pick: Josiah Lake II Over 11.5 Points – Lake scored 18 last game and should see increased usage as Oregon State chases points.
Expert Picks & Final Score Prediction
For bettors, the number is a big one with Gonzaga favored by 19.5 and the total sitting at 145.5. Gonzaga’s offense and Ike’s dominance inside make it difficult to envision an upset.
Still, tournament basketball can tighten up late. Oregon State may scrap enough points to stay somewhat competitive.
Final Score: Gonzaga 86, Oregon State 63
Lean: Gonzaga -19.5
Total: Over 145.5
- NCAAB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
