Phoenix (8-4) at Connecticut (2-8)
- When: Jun 18 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT, USA
- TV: NBCS-BOS
Phoenix vs. Connecticut – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Phoenix -14.5 | Total: 158.0
Phoenix Mercury Breakdown
The Mercury are smoking hot against below-average teams and Connecticut fits that mold perfectly. Phoenix is undefeated (4-0) when facing squads with losing records, and they’re coming off a tough win over Las Vegas where Satou Sabally showed out again with 22 points and 9 boards. Kahleah Copper is back and shaking off rust, and Sami Whitcomb lit it up off the bench with 18 points.
Phoenix plays with pace, depth, and confidence, three things Connecticut desperately lacks. Against the worst offense in the WNBA, Phoenix should cruise on both ends and hit their stride early.
Prop Pick (Mercury):
Satou Sabally Over 19.5 Points – She’s consistently scoring 20+ and thrives against weaker frontcourts.
Connecticut Sun Breakdown
The Sun are in meltdown mode. They’re coming off a blowout loss to Indiana and a heated ejection-filled brawl involving Jacy Sheldon and Lindsay Allen. This team leads the WNBA in growing pains, they’re last in scoring (71.3 PPG), last in rebounding (29.7 RPG), and clearly still trying to figure out who they are post-rebuild.
Tina Charles admitted this rebuild would be rocky, and this back-to-back against a strong Mercury team feels more like damage control than a bounce-back spot.
Prop Pick (Sun):
Tina Charles Over 7.5 Rebounds – Someone’s gotta clean the glass, and it’ll likely be her in a blowout loss.
Betting Angle & Prediction
Connecticut will hang around for a quarter or two, but once Phoenix’s pace kicks in, it’s game over. Phoenix covers the spread with ease. Their depth will be too much for Connecticut’s rotation to handle.
Best Bet: Phoenix -14.5
Toral: Under 158.0
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix 87, Connecticut 69
Phoenix covers, the total stays under and Connecticut’s nightmare continues.
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
