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Phoenix (39-29) at Minnesota (41-27)
- When: Mar 17 2026, 8:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: FDSN
Phoenix vs Minnesota Preview & Prediction
Spread: Minnesota -3.5
Moneyline: Minnesota (-165)
Total: 221.5
Minnesota enters as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 221.5, but this line feels shaky with one major factor. No Anthony Edwards. That changes everything.
Minnesota Timberwolves Outlook
Minnesota is walking into this one without its alpha scorer, and that’s a massive hit. Edwards averages 29.5 points per game, and without him, the offensive identity becomes a bit… guessy.
To their credit, the Timberwolves are 6-4 without Edwards, so they’ve survived before. But this version of the team relies heavily on secondary options stepping up.
Julius Randle becomes the focal point, averaging 21.1 points per game, while Jaden McDaniels and Naz Reid are expected to carry more of the load. Reid’s status is still shaky with a shoulder issue, which only adds to the uncertainty.
After a rough 1-3 road trip, Minnesota returns home looking to reset, but the lack of star power makes this a tougher spot than the spread suggests.
Timberwolves Player Prop Pick: Julius Randle Over 22.5 Points
With Anthony Edwards sidelined, Randle becomes the primary scoring option. Expect increased usage, more shot volume and opportunities to carry the offense in a must-perform spot.
Phoenix Suns Outlook
Phoenix comes in on a back-to-back, which isn’t ideal, but this is a team with urgency. They’ve dropped two straight and know this is a direct opportunity to gain ground in the standings.
The offense revolves around Devin Booker, who is coming off a 40-point performance and averaging 25.7 points per game. When Booker gets hot, the Suns can beat anyone, especially a team missing its best defender and scorer.
The Suns have already beaten Minnesota twice this season, including a tight 108-105 win in this building, which should give them confidence.
Even with travel fatigue, Phoenix has the scoring edge in this matchup, and if they control pace early, they can dictate the game.
Suns Player Prop Pick: Devin Booker Over 27.5 Points
Booker is in rhythm and coming off a big scoring performance. Against a weakened defense, he should see plenty of touches and scoring chances throughout the game
Betting Prediction
Minnesota being favored here feels like a name-based line more than a current reality. Without Edwards, their offense loses its punch, and that opens the door.
Phoenix has the best player on the floor tonight, and in tight Western Conference battles, that usually decides things.
Expect a competitive game, but the Suns have already proven they can win this matchup and should do it again.
Final Score: Suns 114, Timberwolves 110
Lean: Phoenix ML (+140)
Total: Over 221.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
