Phoenix (5-2) at Minnesota (7-0)
- When: Jun 3 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: ESPN3
WNBA Preview and Prediction: Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx
Spread: Minnesota -11.5 | Total: 158.0
Minnesota Lynx Betting Outlook
The Lynx enter Tuesday night’s home matchup as clear -11.5 favorites, with the total sitting at 158.0. At 7-0, Minnesota remains unbeaten, though players and coaches alike acknowledge that there’s still work to do. The team has struggled to put together full 40-minute efforts, often starting slow before pulling away late.
In their most recent outing, the Lynx needed a dominant second half to shake off the expansion Valkyries. While Napheesa Collier (knee) sat out their last win over Phoenix, she’s the driving force behind Minnesota’s offense, averaging over 26 points per game.
Even without Collier, the Lynx have shown depth and resilience. With Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams, and Alanna Smith all stepping up consistently, Minnesota continues to find ways to win. The defense has been reliable, but consistent early-game focus will be key to covering the large spread.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Outlook
Despite being double-digit underdogs, Phoenix has put together a solid 5-2 start to the season. They’ve battled through key injuries, Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas among them and still nearly upset the Lynx just days ago in a tight 74-71 loss.
Satou Sabally remains the Mercury’s focal point, putting up 21.3 points and 8.1 rebounds a night. Her versatility and leadership have kept the team competitive. Phoenix has also benefited from key role players stepping up, including Monique Akoa Makani and Kitija Laksa.
Injuries have tested Phoenix’s depth, and while they’ve responded admirably, a road game in Minneapolis against the best team in the league presents a tough challenge. Covering the spread will require four solid quarters, something they couldn’t quite deliver in their previous meeting.
Gambling Analysis & Score Prediction
Minnesota’s talent and home-court edge should prevail, especially if Collier returns. Phoenix may keep it close early, but expect the Lynx to pull away in the second half again. Lay the points with Minnesota and lean under the total.
Score Prediction: Minnesota 83, Phoenix 69
Best Bet: Minnesota -11.5
Total: Under 158.0
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
