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Phoenix (12-7) at Oklahoma City (18-1)
- When: Nov 28 2025, 9:30 PM
- Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
- TV: FDSOK
Phoenix vs Oklahoma City Preview & Prediction
Spread: Oklahoma City -15.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-1100)
Total: 225.0
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Breakdown
Oklahoma City comes into this NBA Cup group-stage finale on a remarkable 10 game heater and sitting at 18-1, a start matched by only a handful of teams in league history. With a plus-71 point differential in Cup play, OKC has dominated every phase and is almost guaranteed a knockout-round berth regardless of Friday’s outcome. Still, the Thunder know what is at stake. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has openly embraced the added competition and financial motivation that comes with tournament play, and his streak of scoring at least 20 points is reaching historic levels.
Wednesday’s win over Minnesota was the first close contest during the streak, something coach Mark Daigneault believes sharpened his team heading into this matchup. Oklahoma City has the deeper roster, the current momentum, and the home court edge. As a 15 point favorite, the market expects the Thunder to control the action from tip to final horn.
Thunder Player Prop Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 Total Points – He is on a historic scoring run and carries the usage to keep it rolling against a Phoenix defense missing key perimeter pieces.
Phoenix Suns Betting Breakdown
Phoenix found its footing after a rocky start and now enters at 3-0 in the group stage with an 11-3 run over its last 14 contests. The Suns have shown balance during this stretch, mixing improved defense with timely shot making. Their plus-35 point differential puts them in strong position to advance even with a loss, but this is their first real measuring-stick game in Cup play. Phoenix has rarely faced elite Western opponents so far, making this a key opportunity to test itself against the conference’s hottest team.
The Suns have dealt with injuries to Grayson Allen and Ryan Dunn, thinning out their rotation and putting more pressure on their stars to carry the load. Even so, Phoenix has been resilient and will hit the floor hungry for a statement. While the spread is wide at 15, the Suns have the offensive talent to push back if they can slow OKC’s tempo and avoid long scoring droughts.
Suns Player Prop Pick: Devin Booker Over 24.5 Total Points – Booker steps in as Phoenix’s main offensive engine, and with a heavier scoring burden on his shoulders, his shot volume gives him strong upside in this matchup.
NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
Oklahoma City is playing too well, too connected, and too confidently to fade, especially at home. Phoenix has enough shot creators to keep this competitive for stretches, but OKC’s pace, depth, and defensive pressure should eventually create separation but Suns cover.
Final Score: Thunder 121, Suns 107
Lean: Phoenix +15.0
Total: Over 225.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
