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Phoenix (14-10) at Oklahoma City (23-1)
- When: Dec 10 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
- TV: Prime Video
Phoenix vs Oklahoma City Preview & Prediction
Spread: Oklahoma City -14.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-1000)
Total: 225.5
Phoenix SunsBetting Breakdown
The Suns return to Oklahoma City with one clear memory from the last meeting on Nov. 28: the Thunder completely dictated the pace. Devin Booker summed it up back then, admitting OKC sped them up, crowded dribble lanes, and sent waves of interchangeable defenders at them. Solving OKC on paper is easy but slowing their rhythm on the floor has been another story.
Phoenix may get Booker back after his recent groin issue. He was questionable heading into Tuesday and a return would be a big lift. The Suns have been inconsistent lately, alternating wins and losses in their last four outings. Still, they gutted out a 108 to 105 road win in Minnesota thanks to Dillon Brooks, who continues to be the emotional spark and defensive fire even when the offense sputters.
The Suns are physical, organized, and experienced, but they need their full intensity for 48 minutes to keep this one competitive. Falling behind early against OKC’s tempo is usually a death sentence. Expect Phoenix to try slowing the pace and attacking mismatches in half court sets.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Breakdown
Oklahoma City enters this NBA Cup quarterfinal riding a 15 game win streak, tying the franchise record and putting them in elite historical territory. Only the 1969 Knicks and 2015 Warriors have matched their early season dominance.
The Thunder’s only close call during this entire stretch was that four point win over the Suns. Everything else has been decided with authority, including Sunday’s 131 to 101 demolition of Utah despite missing Shai Gilgeous Alexander. He returns for this game, making a loaded OKC lineup even more dangerous.
Mark Daigneault’s squad plays with relentless pace, physical defense, constant switching, and sharp offensive organization. They rarely beat themselves. Their consistency is what buries teams, not just raw talent. When OKC controls tempo, the opponent usually gets buried in the second and third quarters.
For OKC, the Cup game is no different. They treat every game like a playoff environment. This mindset is a major reason they cover spreads at a strong rate.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
Edge for Phoenix: They can keep this one from becoming a runaway if Booker plays and Brooks stays healthy, but they are still up against the hottest team in the league.
Edge for Oklahoma City: Their pace, depth, and defensive energy should overwhelm Phoenix again, especially if Booker is not 100 percent.
Oklahoma city keeps the momentum rolling and overwhelms phoenix with pace and depth. thunder take control early and pull away late.
Final Score: Oklahoma City 117, Phoenix 106
Lean: Phoenix +14.5
Total: Under 225.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
