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Phoenix (32-23) at San Antonio (38-16)
- When: Feb 19 2026, 8:30 PM
- Where: Moody Center, Austin, TX
- TV: AZFamily
Phoenix vs San Antonio Preview & Prediction
Spread: San Antonio -7.5
Moneyline: San Antonio (-290)
Total: 228.5
Welcome back from the All-Star break, where everyone pretended to play defense for a weekend and now must return to real basketball. San Antonio enters riding a six-game winning streak, while Phoenix returns trying to remember what happened in that 136-109 loss to Oklahoma City.
One team is chasing the Western Conference crown. The other is chasing a playoff spot and possibly an ice pack.
San Antonio Spurs: Western Conference Ambition Tour
San Antonio sits second in the West, just three games behind Oklahoma City, and they are not being subtle about their intentions. The Spurs have won six straight, five by double digits, and look like a team that finally understands how good it can be.
Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.4 points and 11.1 rebounds per game, which is unfair for someone who also blocks shots like he’s swatting mosquitoes. He anchors both ends. Around him, seven teammates average double figures, meaning the scouting report is basically “good luck.”
Coach Mitch Johnson deserves credit. In his first full season after Gregg Popovich’s retirement, Johnson has installed a free-flowing offense paired with a defense that tightens the screws when needed. Stephon Castle noted Johnson’s ability to put players in the right spots, and right now those spots are mostly in the win column.
As 7.5-point favorites, the Spurs are being priced like contenders. With momentum and depth, they’ve earned it.
Phoenix Suns: Playoff Scramble Mode Activated
Phoenix has 32 wins and sits seventh in the West, just 1.5 games behind Minnesota for a guaranteed playoff slot. That’s the good news. The bad news? They’ve dropped four of six and just got run off their own floor.
The Suns have battled injuries all year. Devin Booker, Grayson Allen, and Jalen Green have rarely been fully aligned health-wise. Still, Phoenix has exceeded expectations and plays with urgency.
Coach Jordan Ott is selling growth and process. That’s great for a documentary. For bettors, the question is execution. Can they slow a Spurs offense that shares the ball and pushes pace?
The Suns beat San Antonio twice in November, but this is a different Spurs team now.
Final Predictions
The total at 228.5 suggests pace, and both teams can score. But San Antonio’s defense and home-court rhythm should tilt this.
Expect Phoenix to compete early before the Spurs’ depth wears them down.
Final Score: Spurs 118, Suns 108
Lean: San Antonio -7.5
Total: Under 228.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
