Phoenix (2-0) at Seattle (1-1)
- When: May 23 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA, USA
- TV: ION
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm
Spread: Seattle -5.0 | Total: 157.0
Phoenix Mercury Betting Breakdown
The Mercury are one of just two undefeated teams left in the early WNBA season, riding high at 2-0. Phoenix opened with a statement win over this very Seattle squad, torching the Storm 81-59 in their opener. The new-look Mercury are quickly establishing themselves, despite the departure of legends Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner.
Phoenix’s offense is humming thanks to a dynamic duo. Satou Sabally has been electric, dropping 27 points in Game 1 and following that with 25 against Los Angeles. Even on what head coach Nate Tibbetts called an “off night,” Sabally still found her way to a game-high total, including 12 made free throws. Alyssa Thomas continues to be a rock-solid contributor, averaging nearly 20 points and stuffing the stat sheet.
Phoenix is clicking offensively, shooting over 50 percent from the field in their opening two contests. With Sabally leading the charge and Thomas facilitating, Phoenix has every reason to believe they can notch another upset.
Seattle Storm Betting Breakdown
After a dismal season opener, Seattle bounced back in style, taking down the Dallas Wings 79-71 on the road. The offense came alive with a scorching 60% shooting mark from beyond the arc (9-of-15), a massive leap from their 17.6% performance in Game 1.
Nneka Ogwumike powered the effort with 23 points and 18 boards, while Skylar Diggins matched her season-high with another 21-point performance. Gabby Williams also stepped up with 17 points. The real story was ball movement: the Storm racked up 25 assists on 29 field goals, showing off the kind of rhythm and chemistry that was missing in the opener.
Head coach Noelle Quinn is adjusting, getting Diggins into space and letting her orchestrate while also scoring efficiently. If that perimeter shooting holds up, Seattle has the tools to take control.
Final Score Prediction: Seattle 82, Phoenix 79
Best Bet: Phoenix +5.0
Total: Over 157.0
Phoenix keeps it close and covers the +5 spread behind Sabally’s consistency and Thomas’ all-around impact. Seattle gets revenge with a tight home win, but Phoenix makes it sweaty. Total slightly leans Over.
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
