2024 US Presidential Election Odds
Event: 2024 United States Presidential Election
Date: Tuesday, November 5, 2024
Updated November 6th @ 12:45 AM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +1300
Donald Trump Sr. -5000
ARCHIVES
Updated November 5th @ 11:03 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +850
Donald Trump Sr. -1800
Updated @ 10:52 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +800
Donald Trump Sr. -1600
Updated @ 10:41 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +650
Donald Trump Sr. -1100
Updated @ 10:25 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +600
Donald Trump Sr. -950
Updated @ 10:16 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +650
Donald Trump Sr. -1100
Updated @ 10:07 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +550
Donald Trump Sr. -850
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Winning Party
Republican Party -850
Democratic Party +550
Other +50000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Party Of Popular Vote Winner
Democratic Party +200
Republican Party -300
Other +30000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Popular Vote Winner
Kamala Harris +200
Donald Trump -300
Michelle Obama +30000
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. +30000
Other +30000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Presidency/Pop Vote Winners
Republican Presidency & Republican Popular Vote -300
Democrat Presidency & Democrat Popular Vote +600
Republican Presidency & Democrat Popular Vote +200
Democrat Presidency & Republican Popular Vote +1500
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Balance of Power
REP Presidency; REP Senate; REP House -300
DEM Presidency; REP Senate; DEM House +800
REP Presidency; REP Senate; DEM House +600
DEM Presidency; DEM Senate; DEM House +400
DEM Presidency; REP Senate; REP House +1100
DEM Presidency; DEM Senate; REP House +4000
Updated @ 10:03 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +425
Donald Trump Sr. -600
Updated @ 9:59 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +350
Donald Trump Sr. -480
Updated @ 9:43 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +275
Donald Trump Sr. -350
Updated @ 9:32 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +285
Donald Trump Sr. -370
Updated @ 9:10 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +250
Donald Trump Sr. -300
Updated @ 8:58 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +230
Donald Trump Sr. -280
Updated @ 8:49 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +250
Donald Trump Sr. -300
Updated @ 8:37 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +210
Donald Trump Sr. -250
Updated @ 8:19 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +190
Donald Trump Sr. -230
Updated @ 8:10 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +180
Donald Trump Sr. -220
Updated November 5th, 2024 @ 7:59 PM ET
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Kamala Harris +175
Donald Trump Sr. -210
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Winning Party
Republican Party -210
Democratic Party +175
Other +50000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Party Of Popular Vote Winner
Democratic Party -250
Republican Party +185
Other +30000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Popular Vote Winner
Kamala Harris -250
Donald Trump +185
Michelle Obama +30000
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. +30000
Other +30000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Presidency/Pop Vote Winners
Republican Presidency & Republican Popular Vote +270
Democrat Presidency & Democrat Popular Vote +215
Republican Presidency & Democrat Popular Vote +105
Democrat Presidency & Republican Popular Vote +3500
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Popular Vote Winning Margin
Trump by 7% or more +4000
Trump by 6 to 6.99% +5000
Trump by 5 to 5.99% +5000
Trump by 4 to 4.99% +3000
Trump by 3 to 3.99% +2000
Trump by 2 to 2.99% +1600
Trump by 1 to 1.99% +1100
Trump by 0 to 0.99% +700
Harris by 0 to 0.99% +700
Harris by 1 to 1.99% +650
Harris by 2 to 2.99% +600
Harris by 3 to 3.99% +700
Harris by 4 to 4.99% +900
Harris by 5 to 5.99% +1200
Harris by 6 to 6.99% +1200
Harris by 7% or more +1000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Popular Vote Winning Margin
Democrat Win – Over 5% margin +315
Democrat Win – 0.01 to 5% margin -190
Republican Win – 0.01 to 5% margin +175
Republican Win – Over 5% margin +1400
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Balance of Power
REP Presidency; REP Senate; REP House +150
DEM Presidency; REP Senate; DEM House +250
REP Presidency; REP Senate; DEM House +500
DEM Presidency; DEM Senate; DEM House +400
DEM Presidency; REP Senate; REP House +1100
DEM Presidency; DEM Senate; REP House +4000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Electoral College Winning Margin
GOP 215+ +5000
GOP 155 – 214 +4000
GOP 105 – 154 +1100
GOP 65 – 104 +350
GOP 35 – 64 +525
GOP 15 – 34 +1200
GOP 5 – 14 +3000
GOP 1 – 4 +3000
DEM 0 – 4 +1100
DEM 5 – 14 +1200
DEM 15 – 34 +1600
DEM 35 – 64 +850
DEM 65 – 104 +550
DEM 105 – 154 +1100
DEM 155 – 214 +1800
DEM 215+ +2000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Democrat Electoral College Votes
240-269 Votes +240
270-299 Votes +275
210-239 Votes +325
300-329 Votes +350
330-359 Votes +1200
180-209 Votes +1600
360 Votes or More +2800
179 Votes or Less +3500
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Election Specials
269-269 tie in Electoral College +1400
All third party candidates combined receive 2% or more of the total popular vote -195
Any Faithless elector in US election +175
Any State to have a State wide recount in Presidential Election -135
Harris to win a State Won By Trump in 2020 +125
Harris to win Any Of AL, AK, AR, ID, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MS, MO, MT, NE, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD, TN, UT, WV, WY +250
Harris To Win Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania & Wisconsin +450
Harris to win Wisconsin, Michigan, & Pennsylvania +120
Harris Wins 270-268 +800
Harris wins 273-265 +1200
Harris wins 275-263 +1500
Harris wins 276-262 +800
Harris wins 276-262 +800
Harris wins 287-251 +1100
Harris wins 319-219 +700
Harris wins by 100 or more electoral votes +325
Harris Wins Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina +600
Harris wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election +475
Harris wins the election but loses any of Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania +400
Harris wins the election but loses Michigan +700
Trump to win a State Won By Biden in 2020 -700
Trump to Win Any Of California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, Or Washington. +400
Trump to win Wisconsin, Michigan, & Pennsylvania +270
Trump wins Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania +220
Trump wins 270-268 +1200
Trump wins 281-257 +900
Trump wins 283-255 +1100
Trump wins 287-251 +700
Trump wins 306-232 +1500
Trump wins 312-226 +550
Trump wins 316-222 +1200
Trump wins 322-216 +1100
Trump wins by 100 or more electoral votes +475
Trump Wins Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina +110
Trump wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election +600
Trump wins the election but loses Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania +140
U.S. Presidential election decided by Less Than 100K votes EVEN
U.S. Presidential election decided by Less Than 10k votes +800
Trump wins AR, AK, TN, MS, KY, WV, AL, ID, WY, UT, SD & ND -2000
Burst pipe or other flooding to temporarily pause vote count in Georgia +2500
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Republican Electoral College Votes
270-299 Votes +225
300-329 Votes +275
240-269 Votes +300
210-239 Votes +450
330-359 Votes +1400
180-209 Votes +1400
360 Votes or More +2800
179 Votes or Less +4000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
State Harris wins by the largest margin?
Vermont -300
Maryland +700
Massachusetts +1200
Hawaii +900
California +1500
Rhode Island +5000
Delaware +5000
New York +5000
Connecticut +5000
Any Other +4000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
State Trump wins by the largest margin?
Wyoming -350
West Virginia +450
North Dakota +1500
Idaho +1500
Oklahoma +1800
Arkansas +2200
Any Other +1800
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Tipping Point State
Pennsylvania +105
Michigan +525
Wisconsin +450
North Carolina +550
Georgia +1000
Arizona +1500
Nevada +2500
Florida +2500
Texas +5000
Minnesota +5000
New Mexico +5000
New Hampshire +5000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Will Harris get more votes than Biden in 2020?
Yes (Over 81,286,454 Votes) -150
No (Under 81,286,454 Votes) +115
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Will there be a Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Yes (Over 158,594,895 Votes) -320
No (Under 158,594,895 Votes) +230
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Will Trump get more votes than he did in 2020?
Yes (Over 74,225,926 Votes) -1000
No (Under 74,225,926 Votes) +550
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
RFK Jr. popular vote share
<1% -260
1-1.99% +300
2-2.99% +900
3-3.99% +1500
4-4.99% +1800
5-5.99% +2200
6-6.99% +3000
>7% +4000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Will Jill Stein get 1% Or More of the popular vote
No +115
Yes -150
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Will RFK Jr. place second in any state
Yes +1800
No -20000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Will RFK Jr. wins a state
Yes +5000
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
AP calls Georgia by 5:00 AM Nov 6?
Yes -450
No +300
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
AP calls Michigan by 5:00 AM Nov 6?
Yes -180
No +135
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
AP calls Pennsylvania by 5:00 AM Nov 6?
Yes -115
No -115
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
Last state to be called in Presidential election By the AP
Nevada +190
Alaska +325
Pennsylvania +475
Arizona +525
Georgia +650
Wisconsin +1000
Michigan +1000
North Carolina +1100
New Hampshire +1200
Minnesota +1500
Virginia +1500
New Mexico +1500
Maine +2200
Florida +2200
Colorado +2200
Any Other State +700
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
What day will the AP call the election?
Tuesday, Nov 5 +400
Wednesday, Nov 6 -120
Thursday, Nov 7 +525
Friday, Nov 8 +700
Saturday, Nov 9 +1100
Sunday, Nov 10 +1800
Monday, Nov 11 +1800
Tuesday, Nov 12 +2200
Wednesday, Nov 13 +4000
Thursday, Nov 14 +4000
Friday, Nov 15 +4000
Saturday, Nov 16 +4000
Sunday, Nov 17 +2200
Monday, Nov 18 +2200
Tuesday, Nov 19 +2200
Wednesday, Nov 20 +2200
Thursday, Nov 21 or Later +1500
US Presidential Election 2024 – Odds to Win
What day will the AP call the election?
Any Other Day -650
Tuesday, Nov 5 +400
Politics Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
