Rutgers (7-5-0) at Kansas State (8-4-0)
- When: Dec 26 2024, 5:30 PM
- Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
- Where to watch: ESPN
Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Rutgers @ Kansas State
Moneyline
Rutgers +220
Kansas State -270
Rutgers @ Kansas State
Point Spread
Rutgers 7.0 (-110)
Kansas State -7.0 (-110)
Rutgers @ Kansas State
Total
Over 52.5 (-105)
Under 52.5 (-115)
- Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
Starting QB:
Rutgers: Athan Kaliakmanus 2459 Yds
Kansas State : Avery Johnson 2517 Yds
Team Stats
| Rutgers | Kansas State | |
| 7-5 | Record | 8-4 |
| 3-2 | Away | 3-3 |
| 6-5-1 | ATS | 4-8-0 |
| 7-4-1 | O/U | 5-7-0 |
Game Preview
The Kansas State Wildcats and Rutgers Scarlet Knights square off in the Rate Bowl on Thursday in Phoenix, with Kansas State entering as 7-point favorites and the total set at 52.5. Both teams face a balancing act in preparing for this game, juggling bowl preparation with the distractions of the transfer portal and holiday schedules.
Kansas State: Ground Game Dominance
Kansas State (8-4) looked like a Big 12 title contender early in the season, starting 7-1. However, the Wildcats stumbled down the stretch, losing three of their final four games. They’re led by dual-threat quarterback Avery Johnson, who has been a dynamic playmaker with 2,517 passing yards, 548 rushing yards, and 28 total touchdowns this season.
Despite the absence of star running back DJ Giddens, who opted out to prepare for the NFL Draft, Kansas State remains committed to their ground-and-pound identity. They average 204.5 rushing yards per game, third in the Big 12, and boast a stout run defense that allows just 114.9 rushing yards per game, best in the conference.
Betting Angle: Kansas State’s ability to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball makes them a strong favorite. However, covering 7 points could hinge on how effectively young running backs Dylan Edwards and Joe Jackson step up.
Rutgers: Balanced but Inconsistent
Rutgers (7-5) began the season 4-0 but lost momentum midseason, dropping four straight games. The Scarlet Knights pride themselves on balance, averaging 381.2 yards per game while allowing 381.5 yards. Their offensive centerpiece is running back Kyle Monangai, who averages 116.3 rushing yards per game and has scored 13 of the team’s 24 rushing touchdowns.
Quarterback Athan Kaliakmanus has been steady, throwing for 2,459 yards, 17 touchdowns, and just six interceptions. His top targets, Dymere Miller and Ian Strong, provide reliable options in the passing game, but Rutgers will need a complete effort to stay competitive against Kansas State.
Betting Angle: Rutgers’ balanced attack could help them stay within the spread if their defense can limit Kansas State’s rushing dominance.
Key Factors:
– Kansas State’s Defense: The Wildcats excel at stopping the run, a crucial factor against a Rutgers team reliant on Monangai.
– Rutgers’ Consistency: The Scarlet Knights must avoid costly mistakes and play a clean game to keep it close.
– Impact of Young Players: Kansas State’s reliance on younger players in the absence of Giddens adds uncertainty to their offensive performance.
Prediction and Best Bets:
– Spread: Kansas State -7
The Wildcats’ superior defense and proven ability to dominate on the ground should allow them to cover, but it won’t be a blowout.
– Total: Under 52.5
With Kansas State’s defense likely limiting Rutgers’ run game and both teams favoring a methodical approach, the game may stay under the total.
– Player Prop to Watch: Avery Johnson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Johnson’s dual-threat ability should create opportunities in the red zone, especially with Rutgers focusing on stopping the run.
Conclusion:
Kansas State’s edge in the trenches and defensive prowess makes them the safer bet in this matchup. While Rutgers’ balanced attack could keep it close early, expect the Wildcats to pull away late, covering the spread and securing a bowl victory.
Rate Bowl Parlay Picks & Predictions
Final Score: Kansas State 28-20
Expert Pick: Kansas State -7 & Under 52½ (-115)
A $100 Parlay Bet will return $357
- Rate Bowl Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
