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No. 7 Texas vs San Jose State Betting Odds, Preview & Prediction

Texas seeks rebound vs San Jose State. Live odds, analysis and betting prediction for Saturday’s matchup.

(Photo by Getty Images) Arch Manning
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San Jose State (0-1) at Texas (0-1)

  • When: Sep 6 2025, 12:00 PM
  • Where: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
  • Where to watch: ABC
  • Last Meeting: Texas 56-0, September 9th, 2017

San Jose State vs (7) Texas Preview & Prediction

Spread: Texas -3.0
Moneyline: N/A
Total: 52.5

Texas Longhorns Betting Outlook

The Longhorns (-37.0 favorite, O/U 52.5) come into Week 2 with something to prove after a humbling 14-7 loss to Ohio State. Dropping from preseason No. 1 to No. 7 in the AP poll, Texas dominated yardage but failed to cash in on red-zone chances, leaving Columbus with a bitter taste.

Arch Manning’s highly anticipated first road start showed flashes but ultimately highlighted his inexperience. He finished 17-for-30 for 170 yards with a late touchdown to avoid the shutout. Coach Steve Sarkisian defended his young quarterback, emphasizing patience and growth, noting the offense must create more explosive plays while staying efficient.

Fortunately for Texas, the next three weeks set up like rehab games: three straight at home against mid-majors before SEC play begins. Against San Jose State, expect Manning to settle in with a friendlier matchup, supported by superior size, depth, and speed on both sides of the ball.

San Jose State Spartans Betting Outlook

The Spartans enter as heavy underdogs after a gut-wrenching 16-14 home loss to Central Michigan. They fought back from a 13-0 hole to briefly take the lead before faltering late. Head coach Ken Niumatalolo admitted quarterback play and turnovers were the key issues.

Walter Eget provided some hope with 308 passing yards and two touchdowns, with Danny Scudero hauling in nine catches for 189 yards and a score. The passing game showed explosiveness, but protection and ball security remain concerns. Against Texas’ speed and athleticism, sustaining drives will be a massive challenge.

Defensively, San Jose State showed grit but struggled to stop Central Michigan’s ground game in crunch time. Against the Longhorns’ balanced attack, the Spartans must find a way to slow the tempo, otherwise this matchup could get ugly quickly.

Prediction & Betting Angle

This game looks like a classic bounce-back spot for Texas, while San Jose State faces a talent mismatch across the board. Manning and the Longhorns will be motivated to wash away Week 1’s disappointment and dominate at home. Texas alone could push this game toward the number with their offense finally clicking.

Final Score: Texas 48, San Jose State 10
Lean: Texas -37.0
Total: 
Over 52.5 

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