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Seattle (3-3) at Toronto (3-3)
- When: Oct 20 2025, 8:08 PM
- Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto
- Where to watch: FOX
Seattle vs Toronto MLB Playoff Preview & Pick
Moneyline: Toronto -133
Spread: Toronto -1.5 (+150)
Total: 7.5
Toronto Blue Jays Outlook
Toronto has clawed its way back into this American League Championship Series and now sits one win away from returning to the World Series for the first time since 1993. The Blue Jays capitalized on Seattle’s defensive mistakes in Game 6, turning three errors into a 6-2 victory to force a decisive Game 7 at home.
Addison Barger led the charge with a two-run blast and three RBIs, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continued his incredible postseason tear with his sixth home run of the playoffs. Guerrero’s performance has been nothing short of historic, tying Joe Carter and Jose Bautista for the most postseason homers in franchise history. His power surge has energized the lineup and forced opposing pitchers to work carefully around him.
On the mound, Toronto turns again to Shane Bieber, who was dominant in his last outing against Seattle, allowing just two runs over six innings while striking out eight in a Game 3 win. The Blue Jays bullpen remains rested and ready, giving them flexibility should Bieber run into early trouble. If Toronto can replicate the plate discipline and defensive steadiness from Sunday, their experience and home-field edge could be the difference-maker.
Seattle Mariners Outlook
Seattle enters Game 7 fighting to keep its dream alive. The Mariners have never reached a World Series, and after blowing multiple scoring chances in Game 6, they’ll need to clean things up to make history. Their three errors and three rally-killing double plays, two with the bases loaded cost them dearly in what could’ve been a series-clinching opportunity.
George Kirby gets the ball for Seattle, looking to rebound from his rough Game 3 start where he gave up eight runs in just four innings. The Mariners will have everyone available behind him, including a bullpen ready for a short leash approach. Kirby acknowledged Toronto’s aggressive bats, emphasizing the need to get ahead in counts and change speeds effectively to limit hard contact.
Offensively, Seattle’s lineup has been inconsistent in clutch situations. They put runners on base in Game 6 but failed to deliver timely hits. Manager Dan Wilson made it clear that adjustments must be made, particularly in how they approach Bieber, whose breaking stuff disrupted their rhythm last time out. The Mariners must stay patient and avoid chasing early pitches if they hope to put pressure on Toronto’s pitching.
Game 7 ALCS Final Prediction
Toronto has the momentum, the home crowd, and the more reliable starter in Shane Bieber. Seattle’s defense and situational hitting have been shaky at the worst possible time, while Guerrero Jr. and the Blue Jays bats are peaking. Expect Toronto to carry its Game 6 confidence into Monday night and punch its ticket to the World Series.
Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Mariners 3
Pick: Toronto (-133)
Total: Over 7.5 (-115)
- MLB Playoff Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
