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TCU (3-0) at Arizona State (3-1)
- When: Sep 26 2025, 9:00 PM
- Where: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
- Where to watch: FOX
- Last Meeting: No previous meeting
(24) TCU vs Arizona State Preview & Prediction
Spread: Arizona State -3.0
Moneyline: Arizona State (-145)
Total: 54.5
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Outlook
The reigning Big 12 champions return to Tempe riding momentum after last week’s thriller at Baylor, capped off by a walk-off 43-yard field goal from Jesus Gomez. Arizona State (3-1, 1-0) has been sharp offensively, averaging 406 yards per game, but coach Kenny Dillingham isn’t thrilled about leaving too many points on the board.
Quarterback Sam Leavitt has been efficient and versatile, throwing for 221 yards and a touchdown at Baylor while rushing for another score. Wideout Jordyn Tyson has emerged as a reliable target, and running back Raleek Brown adds balance to the ground game. Still, four field goals last week highlighted red-zone inefficiency that could haunt them against a stronger opponent.
The Sun Devils defense has shown steady improvement, but they’ll be tested by one of the Big 12’s most explosive aerial attacks.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Outlook
The Horned Frogs (3-0) are unbeaten heading into their conference opener, though their journey hasn’t been flawless. Quarterback Josh Hoover is coming off a career day with 379 passing yards and five touchdowns in a win over SMU. His connection with Eric McAlister, who posted 254 yards and three scores, gives TCU one of the hottest QB-WR duos in the nation right now.
Discipline, however, has been a problem. Nine penalties against SMU nearly derailed their momentum, and Hoover’s costly end-zone interception was the type of mistake that can’t happen against Arizona State. Coach Sonny Dykes knows his team must clean it up if they’re going to survive in Tempe.
Defensively, the Horned Frogs remain solid but have yet to face an offense as balanced as the Sun Devils’. Their ability to generate stops in the red zone could swing this matchup.
Prediction & Betting Angle
This Friday night clash has the feel of a classic Big 12 shootout. Arizona State will lean on its balance and home-field edge, but TCU’s explosive passing attack can’t be ignored. Expect fireworks, but in the end, Arizona State’s consistency pushes them across the finish line.
Final Score: Arizona State 32, TCU 27
Lean: Arizona State -3.0
Total: Over 54.5
- NCAA Football Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
