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Astros Rely On Javier, Rangers Pray For deGrom

Astros vs Rangers betting preview with odds, analysis, and expert score prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Cristian Javier
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Texas (79-73) at Houston (83-69)

  • When: Sep 17 2025, 8:10 PM
  • Where: Daikin Park, Houston
  • Where to watch: SCHN

One ERA Sparkles, the Other… Not so Much

Moneyline: Texas -128 
Spread: Texas -1.5 (+135)
Total: 7.5

Texas Rangers Outlook

The Rangers (79–73) come into this one looking like a tourist who forgot their map, completely lost on the road. They’ve dropped three straight away games and their 32–45 road record is about as comforting as a lukewarm stadium hot dog.

Still, there’s one shiny toy they get to bring with them: Jacob deGrom. He’s rocking a 12–7 record with a 2.82 ERA and 171 strikeouts, which basically makes him the guy you hand the keys to when everything else is falling apart. If the Rangers can scratch together more hits than the Astros, which history shows they actually do 53–19 in those scenarios, this could be their chance to stop the skid.

Josh Smith is still leading the team with a .257 batting average, which is like saying you’re the tallest kid at summer camp. But hey, someone’s got to do it. Cody Freeman has been warm enough at the plate lately to keep things from freezing over entirely.

Houston Astros Outlook

The Astros (83–69) are much more comfortable at home, boasting a 45–32 record in Houston. They’re the masters of squeaking out close games, holding a sparkling 27–16 mark in one-run contests. Translation: even when they’re messy, they still usually get the job done.

Cristian Javier gets the ball, and let’s just say his 1–3 record with a 4.78 ERA doesn’t exactly scream “fearsome ace.” But the Astros don’t need him to be vintage Pedro Martinez, just good enough to let the offense do its thing.

Speaking of offense, Jose Altuve continues to be the spark plug with 25 homers and the energy of someone who had three espressos before first pitch. Jeremy Peña is finding his rhythm too, smacking doubles like he’s collecting souvenirs.

Prediction & Betting Angle

MyBookie have Texas as the moneyline favorite at -128, with the total set at 7.5 runs. It’s a coin-flip season series at 6–6, and with both teams 6–4 in their last 10, this has all the makings of a classic Lone Star nail-biter.

The Rangers have the better pitcher, but the Astros have the home-field swagger and a knack for clutch wins. Expect drama, maybe some questionable bullpen decisions and definitely a few Twitter meltdowns.

Score Prediction: Astros 4, Rangers 3
Pick: Houston (+110)
Total: Under 7.5 (-116) 

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