Texas (12-2-0) at Arizona (11-2-0)
- When: Jan 1 2025, 1:00 PM
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- Where to watch: ESPN
Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Texas (#5) @ Arizona State (#4)
Moneyline
Texas (#5) -650
Arizona State (#4) +450
Texas (#5) @ Arizona State (#4)
Point Spread
Texas (#5) -13.5 (-105)
Arizona State (#4) 13.5 (-115)
Texas (#5) @ Arizona State (#4)
Total
Over 52.0 (-115)
Under 52.0 (-105)
- Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
Passing Team Leaders:
Texas: Quinn Ewers 2867 Yds
Arizona: Sam Leavitt 2663 Yds
Team Stats
| Texas | Arizona State | |
| 12-2 | Record | 11-2 |
| 5-0 | Away | 4-2 |
| 8-6-0 | ATS | 11-2-0 |
| 5-8-1 | O/U | 8-4-1 |
Game Preview
The New Year’s Day showdown between fourth-seeded Texas Longhorns (-13.5) and fifth-seeded Arizona State Sun Devils promises to be an intriguing College Football Playoff quarterfinal. With the total set at 52, this game presents plenty of betting angles as both teams battle for a spot in the semifinals.
Arizona State: The Underdog with Momentum
Few expected Arizona State (11-2) to claim the Big 12 title, let alone secure a CFP berth. But after a commanding 45-19 victory over Iowa State in the conference championship, the Sun Devils are riding a six-game winning streak. Arizona State boasts a strong offensive duo in quarterback Sam Leavitt (2,663 passing yards, 29 total TDs) and running back Cam Skattebo (1,568 rushing yards, 19 TDs).
The Sun Devils’ high-powered offense averages 34.5 points per game, and while they’re the clear underdogs, their ability to dominate late in the season gives them a puncher’s chance to cover the spread. However, the challenge lies in facing Texas’ suffocating defense, which allows just 13.3 points per game, the second-best in the nation.
Texas: The Heavy Favorite with CFP Experience
Texas (12-2) enters as the more battle-tested team, having played in its second consecutive CFP. The Longhorns dispatched Clemson 38-24 in the opening round, using a dominant ground game to seal the victory. Texas racked up 292 rushing yards, led by Jaydon Blue (146 yards, 2 TDs) and Quintrevion Wisner (110 yards, 2 TDs).
Quarterback Quinn Ewers contributed modestly through the air in the Clemson game but remains a key piece in maintaining offensive balance. Coach Steve Sarkisian has emphasized the importance of the ground game, stating, “Playoff football requires running the ball well. It takes all 11 players executing for success.”
Texas has stumbled twice this season, including a 22-19 overtime loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship. However, their defensive strength and offensive consistency make them a formidable opponent against Arizona State.
Betting Insights and Picks
– Spread (-13.5): Texas’ defense and playoff experience give them a clear edge, but Arizona State’s offense can keep this closer than expected. Arizona State has proven they can score against strong defenses, making them an appealing underdog to cover the +13.5 spread.
– Total (52): Arizona State’s offensive firepower paired with Texas’ run game could push this game over the total, despite the Longhorns’ defensive prowess. Look for scoring opportunities on both sides.
– Moneyline: While Arizona State offers underdog value, Texas is the safer pick to win outright. Pairing Texas’ moneyline with total bet could add value to your wager.
Prediction:
Texas should win this game outright, but Arizona State’s dynamic offense makes them a strong pick to cover the +13.5 spread. Expect a competitive matchup with scoring on both sides, pushing the game over the total of 52.
CFP Peach Bowl Parlay Picks & Predictions
Final Score: Texas 32-24
The Pick: Arizona State +13½ (-115) & Over 52 (-115)
A $100 Parlay Bet will return $350
- CFP Peach Bowl Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
