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Toledo vs Louisville Boca Raton Bowl Props & Picks on Miller Moss

The Rockets and the Cardinals will meet on the field at Flagler Credit Union Stadium in the Boca Raton Bowl.

(Photo by Getty Images) Miller Moss
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Toledo (8-4) at Louisville (8-4)

  • When: Dec 23 2025, 2:00 PM
  • Where: Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Toledo @ Louisville
Moneyline

Toledo   +265
Louisville   -330

Toledo @ Louisville
Point Spread

Toledo   8.5 (-110)
Louisville   -8.5 (-110)

Toledo @ Louisville
Total

Over   43.5 (-110)
Under   43.5 (-110)

Miller Moss CFB Preview & Props

Miller Moss enters the Boca Raton Bowl in a challenging spot, leading an offense that has emphasized control and efficiency over explosiveness. Louisville has leaned on game management, limiting high volume passing situations. Against a disciplined Toledo defense, Moss will need to stay patient, avoid mistakes, and operate within structure rather than forcing aggressive throws in a bowl environment where preparation favors defenses.

Toledo @ Louisville
First Touchdown Scorer

Miller Moss (LOU)   +900

Toledo @ Louisville
First Touchdown Scorer – Louisville

Miller Moss (LOU)   +650

Toledo @ Louisville
Total Passing Touchdowns – Miller Moss (LOU)

Over   1.5 (+110)
Under   1.5 (-145)

Toledo @ Louisville
Alternate Passing Touchdowns – Miller Moss (LOU)

To Record 1+ Passing Touchdowns   -500
To Record 2+ Passing Touchdowns   +105
To Record 3+ Passing Touchdowns   +360
To Record 4+ Passing Touchdowns   +1100

Toledo @ Louisville
Longest Pass Completion – Miller Moss (LOU)

Over   38.5 (-115)
Under   38.5 (-115)

Toledo @ Louisville
Total Interceptions Thrown – Miller Moss (LOU)

Over   0.5 (-160)
Under   0.5 (+120)

Toledo @ Louisville
Total Passing Yards – Miller Moss (LOU)

Over   209.5 (-115)
Under   209.5 (-115)

Toledo @ Louisville
Alternate Passing Yards – Miller Moss (LOU)

To Record 150+ Passing Yards   -850
To Record 175+ Passing Yards   -400
To Record 200+ Passing Yards   -210
To Record 225+ Passing Yards   -115
To Record 250+ Passing Yards   +160
To Record 275+ Passing Yards   +265
To Record 300+ Passing Yards   +450
To Record 325+ Passing Yards   +700
To Record 350+ Passing Yards   +1200
To Record 375+ Passing Yards   +1700

Miller Moss Statistics

Game P. TDs P. Yards INT Comp% Yds/G
11 14 2526 7 64.0 229.6

Miller Moss Past Results

Passing
Date Opp Score CMP ATT Yds TD Int LNG
Nov 29 vs UK
W 41-0
12 20 182 3 0 43
Nov 14 vs CLEM
L 20-19
19 27 212 0 0 48
Nov 8 vs CAL
L 29-26
20 38 203 0 1 40
Nov 1 @VATECH
W 28-16
19 28 136 1 1 24
Oct 25 vs BC
W 38-24
15 27 187 1 1 38
Oct 17 @MIAMI
W 24-21
23 37 248 2 0 36
Oct 4 vs UVA
L 30-27
34 48 329 2 1 33
Sep 27 @PITT
W 34-27
33 51 339 3 1 37
Sep 20 vs BGREEN
W 40-17
23 32 316 0 0 36
Sep 5 vs JMAD
W 28-14
13 23 151 1 0 64
Aug 30 vs EKY
W 51-17
17 25 223 1 2 32

Rushing
Date Att Yds AVG LNG TD FL
Nov 29 4 18 4.5 13 1 0
Nov 14 4 -3 -0.8 1 1 0
Nov 8 8 -7 -0.9 4 1 0
Nov 1 3 11 3.7 13 0 0
Oct 25 4 10 2.5 9 2 0
Oct 17 3 -9 -3.0 1 1 0
Oct 4 8 -38 -4.8 5 1 0
Sep 27 4 -15 -3.8 4 1 0
Sep 20 3 -25 -8.3 0 0 0
Sep 5 5 -8 -1.6 6 0 0
Aug 30 1 8 8.0 8 1 0

CFB Player Props Picks & Predictions

Miller Moss has struggled to generate passing volume, averaging under 184 yards across his last five games. Louisville’s offense has leaned run heavy, while Toledo’s defensive pressure and coverage schemes limit downfield throws, making sustained passing production difficult in this matchup.

Miller Moss Props Pick: Total Passing Yards – Under 209.5 (-115)
A $115 Bet on that Props will return $215

2026 CFP National Championship

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