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Toledo (8-4) at Louisville (8-4)
- When: Dec 23 2025, 2:00 PM
- Where: Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
- Where to watch: ESPN
Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Toledo @ Louisville
Moneyline
Toledo +265
Louisville -330
Toledo @ Louisville
Point Spread
Toledo 8.5 (-110)
Louisville -8.5 (-110)
Toledo @ Louisville
Total
Over 43.5 (-110)
Under 43.5 (-110)
- Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
Miller Moss CFB Preview & Props
Miller Moss enters the Boca Raton Bowl in a challenging spot, leading an offense that has emphasized control and efficiency over explosiveness. Louisville has leaned on game management, limiting high volume passing situations. Against a disciplined Toledo defense, Moss will need to stay patient, avoid mistakes, and operate within structure rather than forcing aggressive throws in a bowl environment where preparation favors defenses.
Toledo @ Louisville
First Touchdown Scorer
Miller Moss (LOU) +900
Toledo @ Louisville
First Touchdown Scorer – Louisville
Miller Moss (LOU) +650
Toledo @ Louisville
Total Passing Touchdowns – Miller Moss (LOU)
Over 1.5 (+110)
Under 1.5 (-145)
Toledo @ Louisville
Alternate Passing Touchdowns – Miller Moss (LOU)
To Record 1+ Passing Touchdowns -500
To Record 2+ Passing Touchdowns +105
To Record 3+ Passing Touchdowns +360
To Record 4+ Passing Touchdowns +1100
Toledo @ Louisville
Longest Pass Completion – Miller Moss (LOU)
Over 38.5 (-115)
Under 38.5 (-115)
Toledo @ Louisville
Total Interceptions Thrown – Miller Moss (LOU)
Over 0.5 (-160)
Under 0.5 (+120)
Toledo @ Louisville
Total Passing Yards – Miller Moss (LOU)
Over 209.5 (-115)
Under 209.5 (-115)
Toledo @ Louisville
Alternate Passing Yards – Miller Moss (LOU)
To Record 150+ Passing Yards -850
To Record 175+ Passing Yards -400
To Record 200+ Passing Yards -210
To Record 225+ Passing Yards -115
To Record 250+ Passing Yards +160
To Record 275+ Passing Yards +265
To Record 300+ Passing Yards +450
To Record 325+ Passing Yards +700
To Record 350+ Passing Yards +1200
To Record 375+ Passing Yards +1700
Miller Moss Statistics
| Game | P. TDs | P. Yards | INT | Comp% | Yds/G |
| 11 | 14 | 2526 | 7 | 64.0 | 229.6 |
Miller Moss Past Results
| Passing | ||||||||
| Date | Opp | Score | CMP | ATT | Yds | TD | Int | LNG |
| Nov 29 | vs UK | W 41-0 |
12 | 20 | 182 | 3 | 0 | 43 |
| Nov 14 | vs CLEM | L 20-19 |
19 | 27 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| Nov 8 | vs CAL | L 29-26 |
20 | 38 | 203 | 0 | 1 | 40 |
| Nov 1 | @VATECH | W 28-16 |
19 | 28 | 136 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Oct 25 | vs BC | W 38-24 |
15 | 27 | 187 | 1 | 1 | 38 |
| Oct 17 | @MIAMI | W 24-21 |
23 | 37 | 248 | 2 | 0 | 36 |
| Oct 4 | vs UVA | L 30-27 |
34 | 48 | 329 | 2 | 1 | 33 |
| Sep 27 | @PITT | W 34-27 |
33 | 51 | 339 | 3 | 1 | 37 |
| Sep 20 | vs BGREEN | W 40-17 |
23 | 32 | 316 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
| Sep 5 | vs JMAD | W 28-14 |
13 | 23 | 151 | 1 | 0 | 64 |
| Aug 30 | vs EKY | W 51-17 |
17 | 25 | 223 | 1 | 2 | 32 |
| Rushing | ||||||
| Date | Att | Yds | AVG | LNG | TD | FL |
| Nov 29 | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 14 | 4 | -3 | -0.8 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 8 | 8 | -7 | -0.9 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 1 | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 25 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 17 | 3 | -9 | -3.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 4 | 8 | -38 | -4.8 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 27 | 4 | -15 | -3.8 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -25 | -8.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 5 | 5 | -8 | -1.6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
CFB Player Props Picks & Predictions
Miller Moss has struggled to generate passing volume, averaging under 184 yards across his last five games. Louisville’s offense has leaned run heavy, while Toledo’s defensive pressure and coverage schemes limit downfield throws, making sustained passing production difficult in this matchup.
Miller Moss Props Pick: Total Passing Yards –
Under 209.5 (-115)
A $115 Bet on that Props will return $215
- NCAA Football Props source: Bovada Sportsbook