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Old Max Meets Hot Luis in ALCS Showdown

Blue Jays face Mariners in ALCS Game 4 with Scherzer vs Castillo pitching matchup.

(Photo by Getty Images) Luis Castillo
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Toronto (1-2) at Seattle (2-1)

  • When: Oct 16 2025, 8:33 PM
  • Where: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
  • Where to watch: Fox Sports 1

Toronto vs Seattle MLB Playoff Preview & Pick

Moneyline: Seattle -137 
Spread: Seattle -1.5 (+154)
Total: 7.5

Toronto Blue Jays Outlook

This is exactly the moment Toronto envisioned when they signed 41-year-old Max Scherzer, a high-stakes, must-win postseason start with everything on the line. The man has more intensity than a double espresso on an empty stomach, and he’s not about to take it easy now.

Scherzer, who hasn’t pitched since late September due to a neck issue, swears he’s ready to go. Whether his neck agrees remains to be seen, but you can bet he’s going to stomp around the mound like a man who just found out they were out of coffee. His fiery attitude has always been his brand, eyes bulging, veins popping, and an aura that screams “don’t even think about bunting.”

Toronto gave him the perfect confidence boost in Game 3 by smashing the Mariners 13-4 in a game that looked more like a home run derby than a playoff contest. Five different Jays went deep, including Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer, reminding everyone that when this team’s bats wake up, it’s a fireworks show.

Now, they’ll try to keep that momentum rolling behind Scherzer, who’s had mixed results in recent Octobers but still carries the pedigree of a big-game ace. Toronto’s plan is simple, let Max set the tone early and hope the offense doesn’t cool down faster than Canadian beer in January.

Seattle Mariners Outlook

Seattle fans, breathe. You’ve still got Luis Castillo, the man who could make a baseball spin like it’s auditioning for Dancing With the Stars. Castillo has been nails this postseason, tossing six shutout innings against Detroit and looking every bit the ace Seattle needs.

While Scherzer is the veteran headliner, Castillo is the guy with the hot hand. He’s been pitching with command, swagger, and just the right amount of “don’t test me” energy. Seattle manager Dan Wilson knows his squad can’t let this series slip, and with Castillo on the mound, they’re in good hands.

The Mariners’ bullpen could get a boost too, as Bryan Woo the team’s 15-game winner, may be ready for action after recovering from a pectoral strain. If Woo makes an appearance, expect the crowd in T-Mobile Park to lose its collective mind.

The real concern? Seattle’s offense looked more confused than a tourist with a paper map in Game 3. Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena, and Cal Raleigh all homered, but they still got steamrolled by Toronto’s lineup. They’ll need a full-team wake-up call to hang with the Jays if this turns into another slugfest.

Prediction

This one has all the makings of a classic, two fiery starters, one must-win situation, and a crowd ready to explode. Scherzer’s experience gives Toronto a fighting chance, but Castillo’s rhythm and Seattle’s home-field edge tilt the balance slightly toward the Mariners. Expect plenty of drama, a few long balls, and at least one shot of Scherzer screaming into his glove for motivation.

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4
Pick: Seattle (-137)
Total: Over 7.5 (-115) 

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