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Butler vs No. 6 UConn Betting Breakdown and Picks

UConn Butler matchup preview with spread insight.

(Photo by Getty Images) Silas Demary Jr
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UConn (22-2) vs Butler (13-11)

  • When: Feb 11 2026, 7:30 PM
  • Where: Hinkle Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN, USA
  • Where to watch: TNT

(6) UConn vs Butler Preview & Prediction

Spread: UConn -11.5
Moneyline: UConn (-750)
Total: 145.0

UConn Huskies Betting Preview

UConn heads to Indianapolis laying 11.5 points with the total sitting at 145.0 after finally tasting defeat in conference play. The Huskies saw an 18 game winning streak snapped in an 81-72 loss to St. John’s, despite shooting 54.7 percent from the field and knocking down 9 of 19 from three.

The real damage came elsewhere. UConn went just 5 of 12 at the free throw line and committed 15 turnovers, nine from Silas Demary Jr. That kind of sloppiness is rare for a team that usually values every possession. Coach Dan Hurley pointed directly at turnovers and rebounding as the difference.

The starting lineup still produces at a high level. Solo Ball and Tarris Reed Jr. average 14.0 points per game, while Demary adds 11.2. The concern is bench production, which totaled only six points in the loss. Against a struggling Butler team, expect a tighter rotation and a sharper focus.

From a betting perspective, UConn is in bounce back mode. Elite teams tend to respond strongly after a loss, especially when the mistakes are correctable.

Butler Bulldogs Betting Preview

Butler enters on a four game skid, all by double digits, including a 70-55 loss at Marquette. The Bulldogs shot just 32.8 percent from the floor and hit only 6 of 21 from deep in that game.

Finley Bizjack led with 23 points on 8 of 12 shooting, but he had little help. He has also been forced into more ball handling duties with point guard Azavier Robinson sidelined by a wrist injury. Losing a primary ball handler has hurt Butler’s ability to manage pressure and control tempo.

Michael Ajayi remains a force with 15.8 points and 11.6 rebounds per game, ranking among the nation’s leaders on the glass. Still, this team has struggled to generate consistent offense and has not shown the defensive strength needed to slow elite attacks.

Historically, UConn has dominated this matchup, winning all 12 meetings, including a 79-60 victory earlier this season.

Final Score Prediction

This sets up as a classic get right spot for UConn. The Huskies should clean up the turnovers, control the boards, and dictate pace. Butler’s offensive struggles make it difficult to trust them to keep up.

Final Score: UConn 78, Butler 62
Lean: UConn -11.5
Total: 
Under 145.0 

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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