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Vegas (14-6-9) at Philadelphia (16-9-3)
- When: Dec 11 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA, USA
- TV: ESPN
Vegas vs Philadelphia NHL Preview & Pick
Moneyline: Vegas -150
Spread: Vegas -1.5 (+173)
Total: 5.5
Vegas Golden Knights Breakdown
Vegas rolls into Philadelphia as the road favorite at -150 on the moneyline, carrying a five game point streak despite dropping a shootout to the Islanders on Tuesday. The storyline centers on Carter Hart returning to his old building after nearly two years away from NHL action. Whether he actually gets the crease is still up in the air since Bruce Cassidy plans to split the final two games of the trip between Hart and Akira Schmid.
Vegas has been finding ways to stay in every game, even if they have been forced past regulation more often than they would like. Their comeback effort on Long Island showed their resilience again when Pavel Dorofeyev tied it late with the extra attacker. They sit 2-0-1 on the road trip and have looked stable defensively while getting enough scoring to grind out points.
From a betting perspective, Vegas deserves to be favored, but they have been relying heavily on late pushes and tight finishes. Their tendency to end up in overtime makes laying the price a little riskier than the line suggests. The Total sits at 5.5, which aligns with two teams that can clamp down but still generate late-game offense when chasing.
Philadelphia Flyers Breakdown
Philadelphia sits in the second wild card slot and has won five of its last seven. They are coming off a controlled 4-1 victory over San Jose where they dictated play, got scoring from multiple lines and saw Travis Konecny hit the 500 point milestone. Carl Grundstrom added the go-ahead goal against his former club, and the Flyers continued to look like a team gaining momentum at home.
Their bounce back after a tough loss to Colorado shows they are handling adversity better than past seasons. Philadelphia tends to thrive when they can muddy up games and play at their pace. That approach will be key if they want to turn Vegas into a more defensive matchup rather than a rush-and-counter type contest.
As a home underdog, the Flyers offer value. They have been strong in their own building and enter this matchup with cleaner recent performances than Vegas.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
Vegas has the better roster, but Philadelphia is the more consistent team right now and catches the Golden Knights at the end of a long trip with goaltending uncertainty. The Flyers’ structure at home combined with their recent push in the standings gives them a realistic shot at an outright win.
Score Prediction: Philadelphia 3, Vegas 2
Pick: Philadelphia (+130)
Total: Under 5.5 (+100)
- NHL Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
