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2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Tournament
Tournament: Arnold Palmer Invitational
Date: March 5-8, 2026
Location: Bay Hill, Florida
Course: Bay Hill Club and Lodge
Par/Yardage: 71 / 7,128
Purse: $20 million (Winner: $4 million)
Field: 72 Players
Last Year Winner: Russell Henley
Last Week Winner: Nico Echavarria
Last Week Runnerup: Shane Lowry & Austin Smotherman & Taylor Moore
FedEx Cup Points Leaders: Jacob Bridgeman
Television: Thursday-Friday, 2-6 p.m. (Golf Channel)
Saturday-Sunday, 12 p.m. -2:30 p.m. (Golf Channel), 2:30-6 p.m. (NBC)
Bay Hill Betting Guide, Picks and Odds Preview
The 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational is one of the marquee stops on the early PGA Tour calendar and a prime betting opportunity on the Florida Swing. Set for March 5 to 8 at Bay Hill in Orlando, this Signature Event brings out the heavy hitters, which means tighter odds boards and sharper markets.
Unlike last week’s lighter field, this event features all top 10 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Scottie Scheffler opens as the betting favorite, with Rory McIlroy right behind him. When elite fields gather at Bay Hill, ball striking and patience become critical, especially with thick rough and demanding approach shots shaping the leaderboard.
Defending champion Russell Henley returns after winning last year at 11 under par. He is not likely to be among the shortest prices, which could make him interesting in outright or top 10 markets.
A major storyline is Justin Thomas making his season debut following back surgery in November 2025. That uncertainty creates potential value in head to head matchups and placement props.
With a stacked field and a demanding course, expect volatility early and a premium on elite iron play come Sunday.
Read on to see our pick for this week.
Here are the Odds for the Top Players:
Arnold Palmer Invitational
Winner
Scottie Scheffler +325
Rory McIlroy +1000
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Collin Morikawa +2200
Xander Schauffele +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Russell Henley +3500
Harris English +3500
Si Woo Kim +3500
Ludvig Aberg +3500
Jake Knapp +3500
Cameron Young +4000
Viktor Hovland +4000
Chris Gotterup +4000
Shane Lowry +4000
Patrick Cantlay +4500
Robert MacIntyre +4500
Kurt Kitayama +4500
Min Woo Lee +4500
Sepp Straka +4500
Adam Scott +5000
Ben Griffin +5500
Justin Rose +5500
Rickie Fowler +5500
Jordan Spieth +5500
Jacob Bridgeman +5500
Nicolai Hojgaard +5500
Ryan Gerard +5500
- Golf Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time latest betting odds here!
The Prediction: Collin Morikawa 22/1 (+2200)
Collin Morikawa is a sharp outright look this week at Bay Hill. He’s coming off a win, his driving numbers are trending up, and we already know his iron play is elite. He finished runner up here last year, which matters on a course that rewards proven comfort. At 22/1, he offers strong win equity without being overwhelming chalk.
I’m backing Morikawa to seriously contend and justify the number.
Propping up:
- Take Hideki Matsuyama for Top-10 finish +200.
- Take Nicolai Hojgaard for Top-20 finish +120.
- Take Corey Conners for Top Canadian Player +160.
- Take Viktor Hovland -115 over Patrick Cantlay -115 in Tournament Matchup.
- Long Shot Bets – Take Jake Knapp for Top-5 finish +550.
Bet on the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bovada Sportsbook
