Alabama (9-3-0) at Michigan (7-5-0)
- When: Dec 31 2024, 12:00 PM
- Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
- Where to watch: ESPN
Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Alabama (#11) @ Michigan
Moneyline
Alabama (#11) -800
Michigan +525
Alabama (#11) @ Michigan
Point Spread
Alabama (#11) -16.5 (-120)
Michigan 16.5 (EVEN)
Alabama (#11) @ Michigan
Total
Over 45.5 (-105)
Under 45.5 (-115)
- Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
Passing Team Leaders:
Alabama: Jalen Milroe 2657 Yds
Michigan: Davis Warren 1125 Yds
Team Stats
Alabama | Michigan | |
9-3 | Record | 7-5 |
2-3 | Away | 1-3 |
7-5-0 | ATS | 5-7-0 |
6-6-0 | O/U | 7-5-0 |
Game Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide and Michigan Wolverines meet in the ReliaQuest Bowl on Tuesday in Tampa, Fla., in a clash between two programs that fell short of expectations this season. Alabama, a 16.5-point favorite, and Michigan both look to salvage their campaigns with a statement win.
Alabama: Seeking Redemption and a 10-Win Season
The Crimson Tide (9-3) narrowly missed the new 12-team College Football Playoff and enter this game with one primary goal: extending their streak of 10-win seasons to 17. Led by standout guard Tyler Booker, Alabama is determined to finish the season on a high note.
“We can’t achieve most of our goals now, but reaching 10 wins is still on the table,” Booker said. “That’s our focus heading to Tampa.”
However, Alabama’s secondary has been hit hard by injuries and transfers. All-American safety Malachi Moore is out following season-ending surgery, while Keon Sabb and DeVonta Smith are also unavailable. On offense, the team has lost depth with the departures of defensive lineman Damon Payne Jr. and running back Justice Haynes to the transfer portal.
Despite these setbacks, the Crimson Tide will rely on quarterback Jalen Milroe, who leads the team with 719 rushing yards and 20 touchdowns, along with 2,652 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Running back Richard Young is expected to see more touches as Alabama looks to control the game on the ground.
Michigan: A Season of Transitions
The Wolverines (7-5) are a far cry from last season’s national championship-winning squad. With numerous players opting out for the NFL draft—including leading rusher Kalel Mullings and defensive standouts like Mason Graham and Will Johnson—Michigan faces a significant uphill battle.
Quarterback Davis Warren is in a challenging position as the program recently signed top recruit Bryce Underwood, creating uncertainty around Warren’s future. Warren’s 2024 performance has been underwhelming, with nine interceptions against six touchdown passes.
The Wolverines’ offense will lack its top two running backs, putting additional pressure on a depleted roster. Defensive tackle Rayshaun Benny, who missed last year’s clash against Alabama due to injury, views this game as his chance to shine, calling it his “national championship.”
Key Matchups:
Alabama’s Ground Game vs. Michigan’s Defense:
With Jalen Milroe and Richard Young leading the Crimson Tide rushing attack, Alabama has the tools to dominate the ground game. Michigan’s depleted defensive front will have a tough time containing the Tide’s physicality.
Turnover Battle:
Warren’s interception woes could be a deciding factor, especially against an Alabama defense known for capitalizing on mistakes.
Motivation Levels:
Alabama’s quest for a 10-win season contrasts with Michigan’s transition year, potentially giving the Tide a psychological edge.
Betting Insights and Predictions:
– Spread: Alabama -16.5
The Crimson Tide’s talent advantage and Michigan’s opt-outs make Alabama the clear choice to cover the spread.
– Total: Under 45.5
Both teams are dealing with significant offensive absences, which could lead to a lower-scoring game dominated by defense.
– Player Prop: Jalen Milroe Over 235.5 Total Yards
Milroe’s dual-threat ability will be on full display as he shoulders the offensive workload for Alabama.
Final Prediction:
The Crimson Tide’s depth and playmaking ability will be too much for Michigan’s undermanned squad. Expect Alabama to control the game on both sides of the ball and finish the season with a strong statement victory. Bettors should back Alabama to cover and look for value in props featuring Milroe’s dynamic play.
ReliaQuest Bowl Parlay Picks & Predictions
Final Score: Alabama 27-10
The Pick: Alabama -16½ (-120) & Under 45½ (-115)
A $100 Parlay Bet will return $343
- ReliaQuest Bowl Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook