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Alabama (10-3) at Oklahoma (10-2)
- When: Dec 19 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
- Where to watch: ABC
- Last Meeting: Oklahoma 23-21, November 15th, 2025
(9) Alabama vs (8) Oklahoma Preview & Prediction
Spread: Oklahoma -1.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma (-117)
Total: 41.0
Oklahoma Sooners Betting Breakdown
Oklahoma wasted no time proving the first meeting with Alabama was not a fluke. The Sooners return to Norman riding a four game winning streak and carrying the confidence of a 23 to 21 road victory over the Crimson Tide just weeks ago. That win forced Oklahoma into playoff mode early and they have responded by playing sharp mistake free football down the stretch.
Brent Venables has this roster locked in defensively, especially in the secondary. The Sooners have been opportunistic, turning pressure into turnovers, and they showed in the first matchup they can survive Alabama’s speed on the perimeter. Getting defensive lineman R Mason Thomas back at full strength is a major boost for a front that already thrives on disrupting timing.
Offensively, Oklahoma understands this will be a grind. Expect a controlled pace with an emphasis on field position and clock management, especially with the total sitting at 41. Playing at home gives the Sooners a major edge in what projects as a tight defensive battle.
Oklahoma Player Prop Pick: John Mateer Over 197.5 Passing Yards – Mateer has shown poise in high pressure spots and should be asked to make enough throws to exploit Alabama’s secondary when the run game stalls.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Breakdown
Alabama arrives in Norman with something to prove and plenty of pressure attached. Since losing to Oklahoma, the Tide have been uneven, struggling to regain rhythm on both sides of the ball. The offense has leaned heavily on explosive plays rather than sustained drives, which could be problematic against a disciplined Sooners defense.
The Crimson Tide passing game still carries upside, especially with Germie Bernard emerging as the primary receiving threat. Alabama will need to stretch the field early to loosen coverage and avoid falling into another low scoring slugfest. Health updates are mixed, but Jam Miller’s return helps stabilize the run game and provides balance.
Defensively, Alabama must tighten up in coverage after surrendering costly takeaways in the first meeting. Missing key contributors up front limits their margin for error, particularly in hostile territory.
Alabama Player Prop Pick: Germie Bernard Over 58.5 Receiving Yards – Bernard remains the most reliable downfield option and should see heavy volume as Alabama looks to chase points.
Expert Prediction & Betting Angle
This rematch feels every bit like a playoff grinder. Oklahoma’s recent form, home field advantage, and defensive consistency give them the slight edge once again. Alabama will have moments, but the Sooners are built to close tight games.
Final Score: Oklahoma 20, Alabama 17
Lean: Oklahoma -1.0
Total: Under 41.0
- NCAA Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
