- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Atlanta (51-67) at NY Mets (63-55)
- When: Aug 12 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- Where to watch: SNY
Braves’ Road Record Makes Oddsmakers Feel Generous
Moneyline: NY Mets (-141)
Runline: NY Mets -1.5 (+150)
Total: 8.0
Atlanta Braves: The Road Woes Continue
If the Braves were a touring rock band, they’d be the group that plays county fairs at 2 p.m. while the crowd looks at their phones. Atlanta’s road record sits at 21-37, and they’ve been dropping one-run games like hot potatoes, 14-28 in nail-biters. Matt Olson’s got 28 doubles and 19 homers, but the bats have been inconsistent, like a slot machine stuck on near misses. Michael Harris II is swinging well lately, going 13-for-40 with some pop, but unless the Braves pack some extra road magic in their luggage, Citi Field might chew them up and spit them out.
New York Mets: Trying to Snap the Funk
The Mets have been in a slump so bad that their last 10 games look like a horror film, 1-9 record, hitting a measly .208, and a bullpen ERA north of 5. But the good news? They’re back home, where they’ve been stellar at 38-21. Juan Soto keeps flexing with 28 homers and a .493 slugging percentage, while Pete Alonso’s bat has heated up at just the right time, smashing four home runs in his last 10 games. If New York can keep the bats alive and Clay Holmes does his thing on the mound, they’ve got a shot to turn their luck around.
The Matchup: Strider vs. Holmes
Spencer Strider’s 5-9 record with a 4.04 ERA feels like that one Uber driver who swears he’s “just having a bad year.” He’s got swing-and-miss stuff, but control issues and road struggles make this a tough spot. On the flip side, Clay Holmes has been a workhorse for the Mets, reliable enough that Mets fans don’t immediately reach for the antacids when he takes the mound.
Gambling Angle & Prediction
The Braves may own the season series (5-2), but home-field momentum and Atlanta’s road record tilt the edge toward the Mets. Combine that with Strider’s road ERA and New York’s need for a bounce-back win, and it’s hard not to side with the home team. Citi Field crowd leaves happy, and the Braves leave wondering if their GPS is stuck in “lose away games” mode.
Final Score Prediction: Mets 6, Braves 3
Bets Bet: NY Mets -1.5 (+150)
Total: Over 8.0 (-119)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
