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Braves vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Betting Preview

Mets favored at -192 as Kodai Senga faces Braves’ Bryce Elder in series finale with playoff implications for New York.

(Photo by Getty Images) Kodai Senga
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Atlanta (52-68) at NY Mets (64-56)

  • When: Aug 14 2025, 7:10 PM
  • Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
  • Where to watch: SNY

Braves vs. Mets – Game Betting Preview & Prediction

Moneyline: NY Mets -192 
Spread: NY Mets -1.5 (+104)
Total: 8.5

Atlanta Braves Betting Outlook

The Braves may be too far out to realistically contend for a playoff spot, but they’re still swinging freely and playing spoiler. Atlanta has taken five of its last seven games, plating 47 runs in that stretch. Wednesday’s 11-6 win over New York featured their biggest comeback of the season, a nine-run fourth inning capped by Michael Harris II’s go-ahead grand slam.

Bryce Elder (4-9, 6.12 ERA) gets the ball, looking to reverse his recent skid. He’s 0-3 with an 8.80 ERA over his last three starts but has fared better historically against the Mets, going 2-0 with a 4.74 ERA in four career meetings. For Atlanta to cash as a road dog, Elder will need early run support to help settle him in.

New York Mets Betting Outlook

The Mets enter this game clinging to a one-game lead for the final NL Wild Card spot, but the wheels are wobbling. New York has dropped 12 of its last 14 games and has blown leads of four or more runs in three straight, the longest such streak in franchise history.

Kodai Senga (7-4, 2.30 ERA) takes the mound, aiming to steady the ship. While he’s 0-1 with a 5.31 ERA in his last five starts, Senga has been reliable against Atlanta in his career (2-0, 3.97 ERA in two starts). At -192, oddsmakers expect him to deliver, but the Mets’ bullpen and defensive miscues have been costly during their slump.

Prediction & Betting Angle

Atlanta’s offense is hot, but Senga at home against a Braves lineup prone to streakiness tips the scale toward New York. If the Mets can finally hold a lead, they should edge this one out.

Score Prediction: Mets 5, Braves 4
Pick: Atlanta +1.5 (-125)
Total: Over 8.5 (-116) 

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