Atlanta (25-27) at Philadelphia (34-19)
- When: May 27 2025, 6:45 PM
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
- Where to watch: TBS
Braves at Phillies – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Philadelphia -120 | Total: 8.5
Philadelphia Phillies Outlook
The Phillies return home after a rare loss, snapping a nine-game winning streak in Sunday’s narrow 5-4 defeat to Oakland. Despite the stumble, Philly is still one of the hottest teams in baseball and will hand the ball to Ranger Suárez to open this key three-game set. Suárez has settled in after a shaky return, allowing just three runs over his last 20.2 innings, including a shutout performance in Colorado his last time out.
The offense is anchored by Trea Turner, who delivered a go-ahead homer in the last outing and continues to produce in clutch spots. While J.T. Realmuto is in a mini-slump (2-for-14, 6 Ks over the weekend), the Phillies’ bats are capable of putting up runs in bunches, especially against a Braves pitcher still shaking off rust.
Atlanta Braves Outlook
The Braves are reeling a bit, having dropped four of their last five. They’ll turn to Spencer Strider, who is still seeking his first win after two injury-interrupted starts. Strider hasn’t looked sharp since returning from hamstring and elbow issues, allowing four runs in just over four innings last week against the Nationals.
That said, he owns an impressive 8-0 record with a 2.06 ERA in regular season appearances against Philadelphia, though his postseason struggles against the Phillies (0-3, 5.40 ERA) can’t be ignored.
Atlanta’s offense has also cooled off, with Matt Olson striking out five times in his last 13 at-bats. Ronald Acuña Jr. continues his steady return from injury with solid production, but the lineup as a whole hasn’t clicked lately.
Top 2 Player Prop Picks
Trea Turner – Total Bases Over 1.5 (+140): Turner is seeing the ball well and is a major factor in the Phillies’ recent success. He’s consistently driving in runs and should capitalize on a vulnerable Strider.
Ronald Acuña Jr. – Total Bases Over 1.5 (+120): Acuña has shown signs of heating up with extra-base hits and walks in back-to-back games. If Atlanta’s offense shows any life, expect him to be involved on the scoreboard.
Prediction
The edge here lies with the more consistent and healthier arm Suárez. While Strider has historically owned the Phillies in the regular season, his lack of command and recent form are concerning. Expect Philly to ride their momentum and bounce back after Sunday’s loss.
Final Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Braves 3
Lean: Philadelphia RL -1.5 (+170)
Total: Under 8.5 (-110)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
