Atlanta (8-7-0) at Washington (10-5-0)
- When: Dec 29 2024, 8:20 PM
- Where: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
- Where to watch: NBC
Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders
Moneyline
Atlanta Falcons +160
Washington Commanders -185
Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders
Point Spread
Atlanta Falcons 3.0 (+105)
Washington Commanders -3.0 (-125)
Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders
Total
Over 46.0 (-115)
Under 46.0 (-105)
- Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
Key Players:
Atlanta: Michael Penix
Washington: Jayden Daniels
Team Stats
| Falcons | Commanders | |
| 8-7 | Record | 10-5 |
| 4-3 | Away & Home | 6-2 |
| 6-8-1 | ATS | 9-5-1 |
| 5-9-1 | O/U | 10-5-0 |
Last Matchup:
WSH 24-16, October 15th, 2023
Game Preview
Sunday night’s matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders in Landover, Maryland, is packed with playoff implications, making it a must-watch and a great betting opportunity. The Commanders are favored by 3 points, with the total set at 46. Here’s how this game shapes up for bettors.
Atlanta Falcons: Chasing the NFC South Crown
The Falcons (8-7) control their destiny in the NFC South. A win over the Commanders, combined with a Tampa Bay Buccaneers loss to the Carolina Panthers earlier in the day, would secure Atlanta’s division title. Riding a two-game win streak, the Falcons are looking to carry momentum into this high-stakes game.
Rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. will make just his second career start after replacing Kirk Cousins last week. Penix delivered a solid performance in a 34-7 blowout of the Giants, completing 18 of 27 passes for 202 yards and leading Atlanta to four scoring drives. Despite some growing pains, the Falcons are optimistic about Penix’s development, especially with another week of practice under his belt.
Drake London, Atlanta’s top receiver, has been instrumental this season with 978 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. London’s participation is crucial, and he appears ready to go after practicing in full on Friday following a knee issue earlier in the week.
Betting Angle: Atlanta’s playoff motivation and improved offensive chemistry with Penix make them a live underdog. Taking the points at +3.5 could provide value.
Washington Commanders: Closing in on the Postseason
The Commanders (10-5) are on a roll, having won three straight games, and can clinch a wild-card spot with a victory. If Tampa Bay loses to Carolina earlier in the day, Washington will secure a playoff berth even before kickoff.
Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, the No. 2 overall pick, has been dynamic, showcasing both his arm and legs. Daniels is coming off a five-touchdown performance against Philadelphia, where he passed for 258 yards and rushed for another 81. His dual-threat capability has made Washington’s offense tough to stop, as they rank third in the league in rushing (152.7 yards per game).
Terry McLaurin, the Commanders’ leading receiver with 1,029 yards and 12 touchdowns, practiced in full on Friday despite dealing with an ankle injury. His presence will be vital as Daniels looks to exploit Atlanta’s banged-up secondary, which will be without cornerbacks Kevin King and Antonio Hamilton Sr.
Betting Angle: With Daniels’ explosive playmaking and home-field advantage, Washington has the tools to cover the spread, especially against an inexperienced Atlanta quarterback.
Key Matchups and Trends:
– Daniels’ Mobility vs. Atlanta Defense:
Daniels’ ability to run adds complexity to Washington’s offense. Atlanta’s defense must account for his legs while also guarding against the Commanders’ play-action passes.
– Penix Jr. vs. Washington’s Pass Rush:
Penix will face a tough test against a physical Commanders defense. His ability to handle pressure could determine Atlanta’s chances to stay competitive.
– Drake London and Terry McLaurin’s Impact:
Both teams’ leading receivers are essential to their respective offenses. Watch for who can create mismatches and big plays downfield.
Predictions and Best Bets:
– Spread: Atlanta +3
With the Falcons fighting for the NFC South and Penix gaining confidence, they have the potential to keep this game close.
– Total: Under 46
Both teams will lean on their rushing attacks, which could slow the pace of the game and keep the total under.
– Player Prop to Watch: Jayden Daniels Over 47.5 Rushing Yards
Daniels’ rushing ability has been a key weapon, and he’s likely to break off several runs against Atlanta’s defense.
Conclusion:
This matchup between two playoff hopefuls promises to be a competitive contest. While Washington has the edge with home-field advantage and Daniels’ dual-threat capabilities, Atlanta’s resilience and playoff motivation make them a strong pick to cover the spread. Bettors should consider the under in what could be a tightly contested, low-scoring game.
NFL Parlay Picks & Predictions
Final Score: Washington 24-23
Expert Pick: Atlanta +3 (+105) & Over 46 (-115)
A $100 Parlay Bet will return $383
- NFL Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
