Auburn (27-2) at Texas A&M (20-9)
- When: Mar 4 2025, 9:00 PM
- Where: Reed Arena, College Station, TX, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
Auburn vs. Texas A&M: SEC Showdown with Playoff Implications
Spread: Auburn -5.0
Total: 149.5
Auburn, the top-ranked team in the nation, has already locked up the SEC regular-season title, but they’ll look to maintain momentum heading into March Madness. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is in desperation mode, as the Aggies have dropped four straight games and need a statement win to solidify their NCAA Tournament resume.
Auburn Tigers
Auburn (27-2, 15-1 SEC) made history in their last game, earning their first win in Lexington in 37 years with a 94-78 blowout over Kentucky. Despite National Player of the Year contender Johni Broome having an off night with just nine points, the Tigers’ depth was on full display.
Miles Kelly stole the show, drilling a career-high nine 3-pointers on his way to 30 points. The Georgia Tech transfer has become a key scoring weapon, averaging 11.5 points per game while leading Auburn in 3-pointers (69) at 41.1% from deep.
Chad Baker-Mazara also stepped up, tying his season-high with 22 points.
Tahaad Pettiford made an impact off the bench with 21 points, showing that Auburn can win even when Broome isn’t dominant.
The Tigers have been elite on both ends, ranking in the top 10 nationally in offensive and defensive efficiency. They’ve won six straight games, and four of those victories have come by double digits. Even with nothing left to prove in the SEC standings, Auburn has a chance to strengthen their case for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies (20-9, 9-7 SEC) were riding high with a five-game winning streak, but the wheels have fallen off in the last four games. Their 89-70 loss to Florida on Saturday exposed some major issues:
Texas A&M shot just 39% from the field and had only three assists on 23 made baskets.
Florida torched them from deep, outscoring the Aggies 42-15 from beyond the arc.
That’s an ominous sign against an Auburn team that just hit 14 three-pointers in their win over Kentucky.
Wade Taylor IV remains A&M’s go-to scorer, but he’s been struggling (just 1-of-7 from three vs. Florida). Despite leading the Aggies with 15.1 PPG and 61 made 3-pointers, he’s hitting just 32.4% from deep.
Zhuric Phelps (16 points) and Pharrel Payne (14 points) had solid efforts, but the Aggies will need more efficient shooting and better perimeter defense to pull off the upset.
Texas A&M has dropped to sixth place in the SEC, tied with Ole Miss. Their NCAA Tournament hopes aren’t in jeopardy yet, but a win over Auburn would be a huge boost to their seeding and confidence.
Final Prediction & Betting Outlook
Auburn has already secured the SEC title, but their offensive firepower and depth make them tough to bet against. Texas A&M will be hungry for a bounce-back performance, but their recent struggles defending the perimeter and poor ball movement raise concerns.
Pick: Auburn -5.0
Projected Score: Auburn 80, Texas A&M 72
Best Prop Bet: Auburn Team Total Over 76.5
If Miles Kelly stays hot from deep and Auburn continues their elite two-way play, expect the Tigers to extend their winning streak and cover the spread. Texas A&M’s offensive inconsistency makes them a risky bet, even at home.
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
