Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Broadcast: CBS
Betting Odds: Patriots (+3.5)
Over/Under: 36
- Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
On Sunday, the New England Patriots (3-13) will face off against the Buffalo Bills (13-3) at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots enter the game as 3.5-point underdogs according to the latest Bovada odds, with the over/under set at 36.0 points.
The Buffalo Bills come into this matchup boasting a solid 13-3 record for the season. In their latest outing, the Bills secured a win against the New York Jets, finishing the game 24-21. Quarterback Josh Allen achieved a 16-for-27 passing performance, accumulating 182 yards and throwing 2 touchdowns, resulting in a quarterback rating of 104.2 without any interceptions. Running back James Cook led the ground game with 15 carries for 53 yards, averaging 3.5 yards per attempt. Wide receiver Keon Coleman averaged 9.0 yards per reception with 27 yards from 3 catches. The Bills executed a total of 34 rushing attempts, yielding 97 yards and an average of 2.9 yards per carry. Overall, they ran 62 plays and totaled 348 offensive yards. Defensively, Buffalo allowed 22 successful pass completions on 36 attempts, giving up a total of 253 yards at a 61.1% completion rate, while conceding 126 rushing yards on 30 attempts—averaging 4.2 yards per carry.
This season, the Bills have amassed a total of 5,846 offensive yards. Buffalo has achieved 174 first downs while also committing 106 penalties resulting in 798 yards. In terms of reaching the end zone, the Bills have tallied 29 passing touchdowns and 31 rushing touchdowns, with 8 total turnovers (6 interceptions and 2 fumbles). On average, they gain 131.3 rushing yards per game, ranking them 9th in the NFL. Buffalo’s offensive strength translates to an impressive scoring average of 31.8 points per game.
Defensively, the Bills have allowed 3,611 passing yards this season, placing them 23rd in the league. They concede an average of 225.7 passing yards per game and a completion rate of 68.2%. In pass defense, they’ve surrendered 27 touchdowns, along with 12 rushing touchdowns. Buffalo’s total allowed yardage stands at 343.6 yards per game, ranking them at 21st overall. They yield an average of 4.7 yards per rush, totaling 117.9 rushing yards allowed per game, making them 11th in overall defensive performance by allowing 21.6 points per game—accumulating 1,886 rushing yards over 16 games.
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On the other side, the Patriots arrive at this matchup with a record of 3-13 this season. In their most recent game, they suffered a narrow defeat against the Los Angeles Chargers, ending the game at 24-21. Quarterback Drake Maye registered 1 touchdown and finished with 117 yards, completing 12 of 22 passes and achieving a QB rating of 84.8 with no interceptions. Kayshon Boutte was the standout in the passing game, making 4 receptions for 28 yards (averaging 7.0 yards per catch). On the ground, Antonio Gibson carried the ball 12 times for 63 yards (5.3 yards per carry). The Patriots ran a total of 44 plays, accumulating 181 yards while averaging 4.1 yards per play. In terms of rushing, they averaged 4.8 yards per attempt, finishing with 96 yards on 20 carries. However, their defense struggled, allowing 172 rushing yards on 28 carries (6.1 yards per rush). In pass defense, the Patriots conceded a completion rate of 55.2%, allowing 152 yards on 16 completions out of 29 attempts.
The New England Patriots’ offensive production averages 290.9 yards per game, placing them 30th in the league. They average 118.3 rushing yards and have tallied a total of 1,892 rushing yards on the season. The team has incurred 857 penalty yards over 104 infractions, ranking 15th in terms of penalties. The Patriots have passed for a collective 2,763 yards, averaging 172.7 passing yards per game, ranking last (32nd) in the league. In scoring, they hold the 30th position, averaging a mere 16.6 points per game.
Defensively, the Patriots permit an average of 25.1 points per game, ranking 26th in the league. They have surrendered 26 passing touchdowns, giving up 216.7 yards on average per game—positioning them 15th in the NFL. On the ground, New England has allowed a total of 2,103 rushing yards (131.4 yards per game) and 15 rushing touchdowns this season. The Patriots’ defense has been on the field for 1,003 plays this year, ranking them 23rd overall, with only 12 takeaways (5 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) recorded this season.
Free Prediction: Bet on the Bills (-3.5)
