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Boston (35-19) at Golden State (29-26)
- When: Feb 19 2026, 10:00 PM
- Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
- TV: NBCS-BA
Boston vs Golden State Preview & Prediction
Spread: Boston -5.5
Moneyline: Boston (-217)
Total: 212.5
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
Boston heads west laying six points in a matchup shaped by roster changes and injury headlines. The total at 212.5 suggests a tighter defensive battle despite both teams ranking near the top in made three-pointers this season.
Boston sits second in the East and continues to grind out wins despite ongoing questions about Jayson Tatum’s recovery from a torn Achilles. Tatum averaged 26.8 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 6.0 assists last season, but his return timeline remains uncertain.
In the meantime, Jaylen Brown carries a heavier scoring load and remains the Celtics’ most reliable two-way weapon. Boston thrives on ball movement and perimeter spacing, ranking third in made threes (831). Their defense has also been consistent, which matters in a game with a modest total.
Laying six on the road always carries risk, but with Golden State shorthanded and adjusting to new pieces, Boston has the stability edge.
Boston Prop Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 28.5 Points – With Tatum sidelined, Brown’s usage spikes in competitive games. Against a Warriors defense adjusting to rotations, his scoring volume should remain high.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Golden State welcomes former Celtic Kristaps Porzingis, who is targeting his return after averaging 17.1 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks in 17 games this season. His post presence adds a new wrinkle, especially in half-court sets.
However, Stephen Curry remains out with a knee issue, leaving the offense without its primary engine. The Warriors lead the league in made threes (897), but without Curry, efficiency can dip. Golden State has dropped four of six entering this contest and sits eighth in the West.
At home, they remain dangerous, but chemistry and rhythm are still developing.
Golden State Prop Pick: Kristaps Porzingis Over 11.5 Points – If active, Porzingis should see touches immediately, particularly in post-ups and mid-post actions. His scoring versatility makes this a favorable number.
NBA Expert Prediction & Betting Angle
Expect a competitive first half before Boston’s depth and defensive discipline separate late.
Final Score: Celtics 108, Warriors 101
Lean: Boston -5.5
Total: Under 212.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
