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Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat NBA Predictions

The Pistons and the Heat will both be gunning for a victory when they meet at Kaseya Center.

(Photo by Getty Images) Jimmy Butler
Matchup: Detroit Pistons vs. Miami Heat

Date: Monday, October 28, 2024

Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network

Betting Odds: Detroit (+8.5)

The Detroit Pistons (0-3) are heading to Kaseya Center this Monday to challenge the Miami Heat (1-1). Bovada has set the Pistons as 8.5-point underdogs for this game, with the total points over/under at 219.5.

In their previous outing, the Pistons faced the Celtics, suffering a 124-118 defeat. Detroit finished the game with a shooting percentage of 48.9%, making 43 of 88 shots overall, while connecting on 14 of 39 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they converted 18 of 22 tries for a success rate of 81.8%. On the boards, the Pistons secured 37 rebounds, including 13 offensive rebounds, and assisted on 26 baskets, forcing 9 turnovers and capturing 3 steals. Defensively, the Pistons allowed their opponents to shoot 42.2% from the field, with Boston landing 38 of their 90 shots. The Celtics recorded 22 assists and stole the ball 6 times, while grabbing 44 total rebounds (9 offensive, 35 defensive) and achieving 4 blocks. Boston excelled at the line, converting 86.7% of their free throws, making 26 of 30 attempts, and hit 22 of their 48 three-point attempts. Detroit was whistled for 17 fouls in comparison to Boston’s 28.

One standout player for Detroit was Jaden Ivey, who scored 26 points on 10 of 18 shooting. Over 39 minutes, he also grabbed 5 rebounds while shooting 55.6% from the field and dishing out 6 assists.

The Pistons currently hold an 0-3 record in the early season. They average 109.3 points per game (19th in the league) with a field goal percentage of 46.3%. From three-point range, they have a conversion rate of 34.6% (36 of 104) and hit 80.6% of their free throws. As a unit, Detroit is collecting 41.3 rebounds each game and has recorded 74 assists this season, ranking them 8th in the league for assists. However, they are turning over the ball 17 times per game and fouling 21.7 times on average.

On the defensive end, the Pistons force an average of 12.7 turnovers per game and draw 18.0 fouls. They allow opponents to shoot 38.9% from beyond the arc and rank 19th in points per game allowed, yielding 117.3. Detroit’s opponents have shot 47.8% from the field and the team concedes 38.3 rebounds per game. They sit at 27th in the league for the total assists they allow, giving up 79 this season.

In their latest encounter, the Heat snagged a victory against the Hornets, winning 114-106. Miami allowed Charlotte to grab 47 rebounds overall, including 7 offensive ones. From three-point territory, they shot 31.7%, converting 13 of 41 attempts, while achieving 15 out of 21 free throws for a 71.4% rate. The Hornets managed to shoot 39 out of 89 from the floor, resulting in a 43.8% shooting mark. Meanwhile, Miami shot 46.5% from the field, hitting 40 of 86 attempts, and successfully made 14 of 34 three-point shots (41.2%). With 28 free throw attempts, Miami capitalized by shooting 71.4%. The Hornets committed 24 fouls, resulting in numerous trips to the line for the Heat. Miami dominated the boards with a total of 46 rebounds, including 34 defensive ones and 12 offensive ones.

Jimmy Butler was instrumental for the Heat in the matchup, scoring 26 points on 7 of 15 shooting (46.7%) while securing 8 rebounds. He also contributed 8 assists in 37 minutes of play.

Miami enters this game with a 1-1 record for the season. They commit 19.0 fouls per game and have a free throw percentage of 73.7%. Their assist rate stands at 28.5, ranking 7th in the league, while averaging 12.5 turnovers per game. Overall, the Heat have scored 211 points this season (105.5 points per game) and average 42.0 rebounds per game. Offensively, they are shooting 42.9% from the field, positioning them 21st in the league.

The Heat rank 11th in the NBA for points allowed per game at 111.0. They average 17.0 forced turnovers per game and their defensive field goal percentage is 43.2% (6th in the league). Miami concedes 34.4% of 3-point attempts (31 of 90) and allows opponents to hit 72.1% of their free throws. They yield 24.0 assists and 51.5 rebounds per game, placing them 7th and 29th respectively in the league.

Who will prevail in tonight’s anticipated NBA matchup against the spread?

Free Prediction: Bet on Miami (-8.5)

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