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Florida (2-3) at Texas A&M (5-0)
- When: Oct 11 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
- Where to watch: ESPN
- Last Meeting: Texas A&M 33-20, September 14th, 2024
Florida vs (5) Texas A&M Preview & Prediction
Spread: Texas A&M -7.5
Moneyline: Texas A&M (-303)
Total: 47.5
Florida Gators: Fighting to Prove They Belong
The Florida Gators (2-3, 1-1 SEC) may not look like a juggernaut on paper, but they finally showed signs of life last week. After three straight losses, Billy Napier’s crew stunned then, No. 9 Texas in Gainesville with a 29-21 upset that silenced critics at least for a week.
Quarterback DJ Lagway looked sharp for the first time this season, throwing for 298 yards and two touchdowns on 21-of-28 passing. When Lagway is calm and decisive, this offense actually hums. Still, his seven interceptions remain a problem, and facing the SEC’s nastiest pass rush in College Station will test his poise fast.
The Gators’ defense deserves plenty of credit for that Texas win. They held the Longhorns to just 52 rushing yards and punished Arch Manning with six sacks and two picks. If Florida’s front can replicate that pressure, they’ll have a shot to keep this one close well into the fourth quarter.
Player Prop Pick: DJ Lagway Over 210.5 Passing Yards – He’s averaging nearly 295 in his last two games and will be forced to throw to keep up with A&M’s offense.
Texas A&M Aggies: Balanced, Brutal, and Built to Dominate
Texas A&M (5-0, 2-0 SEC) has been rolling through its schedule with a mix of steady defense and timely offense. Coach Mike Elko praised Florida’s talent this week, calling them the most athletic team the Aggies have faced, but let’s be honest, that sounds like coach-speak. The Aggies are top-five for a reason.
Quarterback Marcel Reed has been reliable, throwing for 1,256 yards and 11 touchdowns with just three interceptions. Meanwhile, running back Le’Veon Moss has provided balance with 343 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Still, the real story in College Station has been the Aggies’ defense, which has allowed only 19 points in two SEC games. Opponents have converted just one of 23 third downs over the last two weeks, pure dominance.
Player Prop Pick: Le’Veon Moss Anytime Touchdown – He’s scored in four of A&M’s last five games and remains their most consistent red-zone weapon.
Expert Prediction & Betting Angle
Florida may bring energy after last week’s upset, but that emotional high is about to meet reality in College Station. Texas A&M’s defensive front should control the game, forcing Lagway into mistakes and giving Reed and Moss short fields to work with.
Expect the Aggies to wear the Gators down late, cover the spread, and stay unbeaten in SEC play.
Final Score: Texas A&M 27, Florida 17
Lean: Texas A&M -7.5
Total: Under 47.5
- NCAA Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
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