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Golden State (25-20) at Dallas (18-26)
- When: Jan 22 2026, 7:30 PM
- Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX, USA
- TV: Prime Video
Golden State vs Dallas Preview & Prediction
Spread: Golden State -4.5
Moneyline: Golden State (-185)
Total: 232.5
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Golden State is still figuring out how to function without Jimmy Butler, and that adjustment phase is creating both opportunity and volatility. One of the biggest beneficiaries so far has been Jonathan Kuminga, who finally returned to the rotation after weeks in the cold. In his first real action in over a month, Kuminga brought instant juice, pouring in 20 points in just 21 minutes against Toronto. The energy was noticeable, and the crowd reaction made it clear the door is not fully closed on his role.
Steve Kerr is openly experimenting now. With Butler sidelined long term, minutes and usage are up for grabs, especially on the wing. Kuminga attacked downhill, looked confident, and showed he can fill part of that scoring void when the starters need relief. Buddy Hield also stepped up in a major way off the bench, leading the team in scoring and helping keep workloads manageable for Stephen Curry and Draymond Green during a packed schedule stretch.
This Warriors team is still elite offensively, but the defense has been uneven, especially in transition. That matters in a matchup against a Dallas team that wants to run. Golden State’s depth scoring keeps them favored, but their margin for error is thinner without Butler’s two way presence.
Warriors Player Prop Pick: Jonathan Kuminga over 11.5 points – With his role expanding and confidence high, the volume should be there again.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Dallas is quietly playing some of its best basketball of the season, even while missing several rotation pieces. The Mavericks are moving the ball, pushing pace, and getting production from unexpected places. Their win in New York was a great example of that next man up mentality, with Max Christie catching fire from deep and setting the tone early.
Jason Kidd has this group buying into speed and spacing. Even without key frontcourt contributors, Dallas has leaned into perimeter shooting and aggressive defense to create momentum. Rookie Cooper Flagg returned from injury looking comfortable, adding scoring punch and showing no hesitation attacking offensively.
The Mavericks’ biggest challenge here is consistency. They can look dangerous when shots fall, but defensive lapses still appear in stretches. Against a Warriors offense that thrives on ball movement, those mistakes can snowball quickly if Dallas does not stay disciplined.
Mavericks Player Prop Pick: Max Christie over 2.5 pointers made – He is shooting with confidence and will get clean looks if Golden State prioritizes Curry defensively.
NBA Expert Prediction & Betting Angle
Golden State enters as a 4.5 point favorite, and the total sitting at 232.5 reflects the offensive firepower on both sides. Dallas will keep this competitive early with pace and shooting, but Golden State’s depth and late game execution should tilt things their way.
That lands the game over 232.5, with Golden State pulling away late after a back and forth start.
Final Score: Warriors 122, Mavericks 114
Lean: Golden State -4.5
Total: Over 232.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
