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Golden State (23-20) at Minnesota (33-10)
- When: Sep 11 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: FDSN
Golden State vs Minnesota – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Minnesota -7.0 | Total: 152.0
Minnesota Lynx Betting Outlook
The Lynx (33-10) have already secured the WNBA’s best record and the top overall playoff seed, but they’d love to close the regular season with a statement win. Minnesota has dominated Golden State this year, winning all three previous meetings by double digits.
Coach Cheryl Reeve has prioritized rest with her roster, sitting Napheesa Collier in their recent 83-72 loss to Indiana. While the result didn’t matter for seeding, it did give bench players meaningful reps. Reeve praised the effort of her reserves, but with the postseason looming, expect Minnesota to tighten rotations and lean on its stars again.
The Lynx are listed as 7-point favorites and will look to ride their home-court advantage to a convincing finish.
Lynx Prop Pick: Napheesa Collier Over 20.5 Points – After resting last game, Collier should come back fresh and aggressive as the focal point of Minnesota’s offense.
Golden State Valkyries Betting Outlook
Golden State (23-20) has already clinched a playoff berth in its inaugural season, but seeding is still in play. Depending on Thursday’s outcome, the Valkyries could finish as high as sixth or drop to eighth.
Coach Natalie Nakase noted that Tuesday’s narrow 74-73 loss in Seattle felt like a playoff game, emphasizing physicality and rebounding as key areas of focus. Rookie Kaila Charles and Janelle Salaun continue to provide steady production, while the team leans on connected defense to stay competitive.
Still, Golden State is 0-3 against Minnesota this year and will need near-perfect execution to break that streak.
Valkyries Prop Pick: Kaila Charles Over 9.5 Points – Charles has stepped up down the stretch, scoring in double figures in four of her last six games.
WNBA Prediction & Betting Angle
The Lynx are deeper, better rested, and have controlled this matchup all season. Golden State may keep it competitive early, but Minnesota’s balanced scoring and defensive consistency should prevail. Minnesota completes the sweep and enters the playoffs on a high note, while Golden State heads to the postseason still searching for consistency.
Best Bet: Minnesota -7.0
Toral: Under 152.0
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 79, Golden State 71
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook