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Indiana (21-18) at Golden State (19-18)
- When: Aug 31 2025, 8:30 PM
- Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
- TV: NBA TV
Indiana vs Golden State – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Indiana -2.5 | Total: 158.5
Indiana Fever Betting Outlook
The Fever enter Sunday in playoff mode already, clinging to sixth place with just a half-game edge over Golden State. Their 76-75 win over Los Angeles on Friday showcased the grit of this group, capped by Aliyah Boston’s late steal that sealed the victory. Boston finished with 22 points and continues to anchor Indiana on both ends of the floor.
While star guard Caitlin Clark remains sidelined with a groin injury, Indiana hasn’t folded. Kelsey Mitchell is leading the scoring charge with 20.5 points per game, while Boston adds 15.6 points and a team-best 8.3 rebounds. The recent addition of Odyssey Sims has provided a scoring spark as well, with her averaging double figures in limited action.
Indiana has dropped both meetings to Golden State earlier this season, so Sunday offers a chance for payback and to strengthen their playoff positioning.
Player Prop to Watch (Indiana): Kelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 Points — she’s been the offensive engine without Clark and will be leaned on heavily in a must-win game.
Golden State Valkyries Betting Outlook
Golden State enters Sunday night with momentum after demolishing Washington 99-62, a win that allowed coach Natalie Nakase to rest starters in anticipation of this matchup. The Valkyries, sitting in eighth, are fighting to climb the standings and complete a season sweep of the Fever.
Even without leading scorer Tiffany Hayes, who remains questionable due to a knee injury and illness, Golden State has found ways to score. Veronica Burton stepped up with 15 points in the first half on Saturday, while Janelle Salaun dropped 20 with four made threes. The Valkyries’ depth has been crucial since Kayla Thornton went down with a season-ending injury, and they’ve adjusted well to a tighter rotation.
Golden State is 2-0 against Indiana this year, and they’ll have the benefit of home court in what feels like a playoff preview.
Player Prop to Watch (Golden State): Janelle Salaun Over 1.5 Made Threes — she’s heating up from deep, and her shooting will be key if Hayes can’t go.
Prediction & Betting Angle
Indiana is listed as a 2.5-point favorite, with the total set at 158.5. Both teams are locked in a tight playoff race, making every possession feel like postseason basketball. Indiana has the stronger frontcourt presence with Boston and Mitchell, but Golden State’s home form and ability to spread the floor with shooters keeps this matchup dangerous.
With Clark still sidelined, Indiana leans on Mitchell and Boston, while Golden State’s depth will have to offset Hayes’ uncertain status. Expect a high-intensity, back-and-forth battle that comes down to execution in the final minutes.
Best Bet: Indiana -2.5
Toral: Over 158.5
Final Score Prediction: Indiana 82, Golden State 78
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
