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Indiana (1-0) at Las Vegas (0-1)
- When: Sep 23 2025, 9:30 PM
- Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV, USA
- TV: ESPN
Indiana vs Las Vegas – WNBA Playoffs Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Las Vegas -9.0 | Total: 165.0
Indiana Fever Betting Outlook
Indiana shocked everyone in Game 1, stealing home-court advantage with a convincing 89-73 win. Kelsey Mitchell led the way with 34 points, once again proving she can carry this team when it matters most. Mitchell has been unstoppable throughout the playoffs, averaging 26 points per game while shooting nearly 50% from the field and from deep.
The Fever didn’t win on offense alone, their defense neutralized A’ja Wilson, holding the MVP to just 16 points on 6-of-22 shooting. Natasha Howard and Aliyah Boston anchored the boards with 11 rebounds apiece, while Odyssey Sims added crucial scoring support with 17 points.
Indiana now heads into Game 2 with all the momentum, looking to snag another upset before heading home to Indianapolis. If their defensive intensity matches Game 1, the Fever could push Las Vegas to the brink.
Fever Player Prop Pick: Kelsey Mitchell Over 24.5 Points – she’s the engine of this offense and has been red-hot in the postseason.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Outlook
The defending champs suddenly find themselves on their heels. Game 1 exposed a flat start from the Aces, who struggled to match Indiana’s pace and energy. Jackie Young’s 19 points and Dana Evans’ 14 weren’t enough to offset Wilson’s off night.
Still, if history has shown anything, it’s that Las Vegas knows how to respond after adversity. This is the same team that bounced back from an embarrassing 53-point loss earlier this season with a 16-game winning streak. They also shook off a Game 2 stumble in the opening round before Wilson exploded for 38 in a win-or-go-home Game 3.
Wilson and company remain too talented to stay down for long. Expect the Aces to crank up the tempo, lean on their championship experience, and protect their home floor in Game 2.
Aces Player Prop Pick: A’ja Wilson Over 11.5 Rebounds – even when her shot isn’t falling, she dominates the glass and should crash boards heavily here.
WNBA Prediction & Betting Angle
Las Vegas is favored by -9.0 with the total set at 165.0. While Indiana has been fearless and efficient, it’s difficult to see the Aces dropping two straight at home. With Wilson due for a bounce-back and the champs playing with urgency, Las Vegas should even the series but Indiana’s fight makes the spread tricky. Las Vegas ties it up but don’t cover, while the total trends Over with both teams pushing the pace.
Best Bet: Indiana +9.0
Toral: Over 165.0
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas 87, Indiana 80
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
