Indiana (2-1) at Milwaukee (1-2)
- When: Apr 27 2025, 9:30 PM
- Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI, USA
- TV: TNT
Pacers vs. Bucks Game 4 Betting Preview, Prediction & Player Prop Picks
Spread: Milwaukee -4.5 | Total: 226.5
Milwaukee Bucks Outlook
The Bucks showed serious fight in Game 3, storming back with a commanding 117-101 win to cut Indiana’s series lead to 2-1. Now favored by 4.5 points, Milwaukee looks to ride that momentum into another crucial win at home.
Gary Trent Jr. was the unexpected hero, dropping a ridiculous nine three-pointers and matching Giannis Antetokounmpo with 37 points. His shooting performance tied a franchise playoff record set by Ray Allen, and he’ll be a key X-factor moving forward. Meanwhile, Giannis continues to dominate the series, averaging 35.7 points and 14.0 rebounds, putting the team on his back once again.
Damian Lillard remains a concern, however. Still shaking off the rust after his calf issues, Lillard managed just seven points in Game 3 but contributed defensively with blocks and steals. Expect him to stay aggressive as he looks to regain form.
The Bucks blew the game open in the third quarter last time out, and if they bring that same energy early, they should be able to cover the number again.
Bucks Prop Picks:
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 12.5 Rebounds
Gary Trent Jr. Over 2.5 Made Threes
Damian Lillard Over 6.5 Assists
Indiana Pacers Outlook
The Pacers had a shot to take full control of the series but fell flat in the second half of Game 3. Coach Rick Carlisle pointed to sloppy execution, particularly during Milwaukee’s 39-18 third-quarter surge, as the turning point. Indiana must clean up those mistakes quickly or risk losing their edge.
Pascal Siakam continues to lead the way offensively, posting 28 points on efficient shooting. Aaron Nesmith added 18, while Tyrese Haliburton finished with 14 points but admitted he needs to be more aggressive getting downhill and creating open looks.
The Pacers’ up-tempo attack must return in Game 4. They need to put more pressure on Milwaukee’s defense, force rotations, and find cleaner looks for their shooters. If they can speed up the pace and avoid getting bogged down in half-court sets, Indiana can absolutely keep this one tight.
Pacers Prop Picks:
Pascal Siakam Over 22.5 Points
Tyrese Haliburton Under 10.5 Assists
Aaron Nesmith Over 1.5 Made Threes
NBA Playoffs Game 4 Expert Prediction
The Bucks appear to have flipped the momentum, and with Giannis playing at an MVP level, they should carry that edge into Game 4. Indiana will push the pace, but Milwaukee’s physicality and home-court advantage should be enough to get the cover.
Pick: Bucks -4.5
Prediction: Milwaukee 118, Indiana 111
Lean: Over 226.5 – With the pace expected to pick up and both teams finding offensive rhythm, points should come in bunches again.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
