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Indiana (17-9) vs Purdue (21-5)
- When: Feb 20 2026, 8:00 PM
- Where: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN, USA
- Where to watch: FOX
Indiana vs (7) Purdue Preview & Prediction
Spread: Purdue -11.0
Moneyline: Purdue (-675)
Total: 148.0
Purdue returns home laying 11 points in a revenge spot after dropping the first meeting to Indiana. The Boilermakers sit at 21-5 overall and 11-4 in Big Ten play, still firmly in the postseason conversation, but recent form has been uneven at 4-4 over their last eight. The total at 148 suggests a controlled tempo, not a track meet.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Breakdown
Matt Painter may have cooled talk about the conference crown, but Purdue still has plenty to play for in terms of seeding. Trey Kaufman-Renn is coming off a 27-point performance and had 23 in the first matchup with Indiana. Braden Smith added 20 against Michigan but shot just 4-for-13, while Fletcher Loyer chipped in 11.
Turnovers weren’t the issue against Michigan; finishing inside was. At home, Purdue typically tightens up defensively and plays with better rhythm offensively. With motivation high after losing the first matchup 72-67, expect a sharper performance.
Laying 11 is a big number, but the situational edge favors the Boilermakers.
Indiana Hoosiers Betting Breakdown
Indiana enters at 17-9 and 8-7 in conference play, coming off a 71-51 loss to Illinois where they shot 40.8 percent and went 6-for-24 from three. Lamar Wilkerson remains the offensive engine, averaging 21.2 points per game and scoring at least 21 in four straight February contests, including a 41-point explosion against Oregon.
Nick Dorn, who scored 26 in a double-overtime win at UCLA, has cooled significantly, tallying just 18 total points on 4-for-28 shooting in February. Indiana will need secondary scoring to stay within range.
Betting Outlook & Prediction
Purdue’s home edge and revenge factor loom large. Indiana’s offense can stall against disciplined defenses. Purdue covers -11. Lean Under 148 if tempo slows in the half court.
Final Score: Purdue 80, Indiana 66
Lean: Purdue -11.0
Total: Under 148.0
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
