Kansas (12-3) at Iowa State (14-1)
- When: Jan 15 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: James H. Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN2
The No. 2 Iowa State Cyclones, favored by 6.5 points with a total set at 144.5, will put their 11-game winning streak to the test in a marquee Big 12 showdown against the No. 9 Kansas Jayhawks on Wednesday night in Ames. This top-10 clash not only carries conference implications but also significant stakes for bettors looking to capitalize on one of the week’s most compelling matchups.
Cyclones Riding High, but Focused
Iowa State (14-1, 4-0 Big 12) has reached its highest-ever AP ranking, but head coach T.J. Otzelberger is keeping his team grounded as they prepare for a dangerous opponent in Kansas. The Cyclones’ lone blemish was a narrow two-point loss to then-No. 4 Auburn at the Maui Invitational. Since then, they’ve been dominant, going undefeated at home (9-0) this season.
Iowa State boasts a balanced offensive attack, with five players averaging double digits:
Curtis Jones leads the way with 17.3 points per game, shooting 39% from three.
Keshon Gilbert adds 16.1 points and a team-high 4.7 assists per game.
Joshua Jefferson controls the boards with 7.9 rebounds while contributing 12 points per contest.
The Cyclones’ depth and offensive efficiency have made them tough to beat, but Kansas represents a stiff defensive challenge.
Jayhawks Embracing the Underdog Role
Kansas (12-3, 3-1 Big 12) is rarely an underdog, but they’ll embrace the role as they enter Hilton Coliseum. The Jayhawks are riding a three-game winning streak, including a dominant 54-40 road victory over Cincinnati, where their defense shined. Head coach Bill Self has emphasized toughness and defensive grit, something his team has leaned into during conference play.
Hunter Dickinson leads Kansas with 15.8 points and 10.5 rebounds per game and will be pivotal in neutralizing Iowa State’s bigs.
Zeke Mayo adds 14.3 points, hitting 36.8% from beyond the arc.
Kansas’ defense held Cincinnati to just 40 points, signaling their potential to slow down even the most potent offenses. However, they’ll need their scoring to keep pace against a Cyclones team averaging 81.4 points per game at home.
Key Betting Trends and Prop Insights
Iowa State is 9-0 at home this season and 7-2 ATS in those games.
Kansas is 2-2 on the road and has struggled to cover against top-tier opponents.
The under has hit in five of Kansas’ last seven games, highlighting their defensive intensity.
Prop Bets to Watch
Curtis Jones over 20.5 points: Jones will get more touches in critical moments.
Hunter Dickinson double-double: His ability to control the paint could be Kansas’ best shot at keeping the game close.
Zeke Mayo over 2.5 made 3-pointers: The Jayhawks need outside shooting to contend, and Mayo could be their X-factor.
Prediction
Kansas will need a near-flawless defensive effort and consistent offensive contributions from their supporting cast to upset Iowa State. However, the Cyclones’ home dominance, balanced scoring, and depth give them the edge. Expect Iowa State to use its aggressive defense and home-court energy to extend their winning streak.
Spread Pick: Iowa State -6.5
Total Pick: Over 144.5 (expect a back-and-forth affair with both teams finding scoring runs)
Final Score Prediction: Iowa State 81, Kansas 73
This Big 12 battle promises to be a thriller, but Iowa State’s consistency at home makes them the safer play. The Jayhawks may keep it close early, but expect the Cyclones to pull away late.
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
