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Las Vegas (3-0) at Phoenix (0-3)
- When: Oct 10 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ, USA
- TV: ESPN
Las Vegas vs Phoenix – WNBA Finals Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Las Vegas -2.0 | Total: 163.0
Las Vegas Aces – Dynasty on the Doorstep
The Las Vegas Aces are one win away from solidifying their place in WNBA history. With a commanding 3-0 lead over the Phoenix Mercury, the Aces can capture their third title in four seasons and officially stamp themselves as the league’s next great dynasty.
A’ja Wilson continues to be the unstoppable force behind Vegas’ dominance. The MVP has piled up 83 points and 38 rebounds through three games, including a game-winning jumper in Game 3 that silenced the Phoenix crowd. Wilson’s third straight double-double was her 26th career postseason one, putting her in elite company.
Head coach Becky Hammon has this team firing on all cylinders, balancing pace, precision, and poise. The Aces are 24-3 over their last 27 contests, showing championship-level consistency. They’ve beaten Phoenix in six of seven meetings this season and look ready to close the deal in enemy territory.
Vegas also thrives under pressure, especially late in games, where stars like Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray have delivered clutch plays. Expect them to lean on that veteran confidence and keep their foot on the gas from tip-off to the final buzzer.
Player Prop Pick: A’ja Wilson Over 25.5 Points – She’s been unstoppable, and elimination games bring out her best.
Phoenix Mercury – Fighting to Extend the Season
The Phoenix Mercury are out of second chances. Down 3-0, facing elimination, and now without leading scorer Satou Sabally (concussion), their uphill battle just got steeper. Still, this team has refused to fold all postseason, rallying back from deficits and showing grit that’s defined their playoff run.
DeWanna Bonner turned back the clock in Game 3, dropping 25 points and snagging 10 rebounds, almost stealing a comeback win. Alyssa Thomas continues to be the team’s heartbeat, flirting with yet another triple-double while also stepping up defensively to guard Vegas’ perimeter scorers.
Without Sabally, Phoenix will need others like Natasha Cloud or Kahleah Copper to step into bigger scoring roles. The Mercury have shown flashes of brilliance but will have to play a near-perfect game to avoid a sweep against the red-hot Aces.
Player Prop Pick: Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists – With Sabally out, expect Thomas to facilitate even more to keep the offense flowing.
Final Expert Betting Take
The Aces are simply too talented, too confident, and too experienced to let this series slip away. The Mercury will fight with pride, but Las Vegas’ firepower and closing ability should prove decisive. Expect the Aces to seal their dynasty with another championship-clinching win in Phoenix.
Best Bet: Las Vegas -2.0
Toral: Over 163.0
Final Score Prediction: Aces 91, Mercury 84
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
