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Las Vegas (30-14) at Seattle (23-21)
- When: Sep 16 2025, 9:30 PM
- Where: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA, USA
- TV: ESPN
Las Vegas vs Seattle – WNBA Playoffs Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Las Vegas -5.5 | Total: 160.5
Las Vegas Aces Betting Outlook
The Aces (No. 2 seed) haven’t tasted defeat in more than six weeks and are one win away from advancing. Sunday’s 102–77 demolition of Seattle in Game 1 marked their 17th straight victory, showcasing why they’re considered the team to beat.
A’ja Wilson continues to dominate, piling up 29 points, eight boards, and elite defensive work in the opener. Becky Hammon keeps the group grounded, stressing “first to nine wins” instead of chasing streaks. Jackie Young also stuffed the stat sheet with 18 points, seven assists, and four steals while drilling four triples.
The Aces are 7-0 all-time in first-round games under Hammon, and with their depth plus ability to dictate pace, they’re positioned to keep rolling on Tuesday.
Aces Player Prop Pick: A’ja Wilson Over 24.5 points – she’s locked in offensively and Seattle has no real answer inside.
Seattle Storm Betting Outlook
The Storm (No. 7 seed) looked overwhelmed in Game 1, trailing by 20 at halftime and never threatening afterward. Scoring only 25 first-half points against the league’s hottest team simply wasn’t going to cut it.
Gabby Williams led with 16 points, while Nneka Ogwumike managed 11 and eight boards but admitted her team wasn’t prepared for the Aces’ intensity. Head coach Noelle Quinn was blunt: you can’t score in the low teens per quarter and expect to survive.
Seattle now faces elimination at home. They’ll need much more balance on offense, particularly from Ogwumike, and a defense that prevents Vegas from running wild in transition. Williams will again be key, as she’s been the most consistent scoring option in recent outings.
Storm Player Prop Pick: Gabby Williams Over 10.5 points – she looked aggressive in Game 1 and should see heavy usage again.
WNBA Prediction & Betting Angle
Las Vegas enters as the 5.5-point favorite, with the total set at 160.5. The Aces are clicking on both ends of the court, while Seattle is fighting to simply keep pace. Even with home court, the Storm look overmatched against a juggernaut firing on all cylinders.
Best Bet: Las Vegas -5.5
Toral: Over 160.5
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas 89, Seattle 77
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook