Memphis (36-18) at Indiana (30-23)
- When: Feb 20 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN, USA
- TV: FDSIN
Game Preview
Memphis Favored by 2.5 | Total Set at 251.0
The NBA returns from the All-Star break with a high-paced showdown between the Indiana Pacers and the Memphis Grizzlies. With Memphis holding a slight edge as road favorites and a sky-high total set at 251.0, this matchup presents strong betting opportunities.
Indiana Pacers Outlook
The Pacers (30-25) enter this game looking to reset after the break following an inconsistent stretch where they went 2-3 in their last five games. Their most recent outing was a thrilling 134-130 overtime victory against the Washington Wizards, a team with the league’s worst record.
Indiana has one of the league’s most explosive offenses, but their defense has been highly questionable, which explains the massive total for this game. The Pacers average 123.2 points per game, ranking among the top three in the league, but also allow 120.8 points per contest, making them vulnerable in high-scoring battles.
One positive for Indiana is the expected return of Myles Turner, who has been dealing with a neck strain. His presence will be much needed against a Memphis squad that plays physically in the paint.
Tyrese Haliburton, the team’s star playmaker, acknowledged that the Pacers needed the break to regroup and refresh their legs. With just 29 games left, Indiana knows it must sharpen its focus, especially on the defensive end, if they want to climb in the standings.
Memphis Grizzlies Outlook
The Grizzlies (32-22) have been one of the most physical and difficult teams to face in the Western Conference, and they return from the break with a tough stretch of road games. Their first test comes in Indianapolis, where they’ll look to set the tone for the final part of the season.
Memphis has been dealing with injuries throughout the campaign, most notably with Ja Morant missing time due to right knee soreness. His availability is a key factor in this game, as the Grizzlies’ offense flows much smoother with him on the floor.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has stepped up in Morant’s absence, averaging a career-best 23.0 points per game. Fresh off his second All-Star appearance, Jackson is expected to continue leading Memphis’ attack. However, the Grizzlies’ defense, which has been one of their strengths in previous seasons, has been inconsistent, allowing 115.5 points per game.
Memphis’ fast-paced, physical style can be challenging for teams coming off the break, and Indiana’s defensive struggles could be exploited in this matchup.
Betting Prediction
Spread Pick: Memphis -2.5
The Grizzlies are the more physical and disciplined team, and with Indiana’s struggles on the defensive end, Memphis should have the edge in this matchup. If Morant is available, expect them to push the tempo and control the game.
Total Pick: Over 251.0
Both teams rank among the highest-scoring offenses in the NBA, and Indiana’s pace of play will force Memphis to match their tempo. Given that the Pacers struggle to contain teams defensively, expect a high-scoring battle that pushes past the total.
Memphis enters this game with momentum and better health, while Indiana will need to shake off any post-All-Star break rust. Look for the Grizzlies to take control in a fast-paced, offensive-heavy contest.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
