- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Memphis (12-14) at Minnesota (17-9)
- When: Dec 17 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: FDSN
Memphis vs Minnesota Preview & Prediction
Spread: Minnesota -7.5
Moneyline: Minnesota (-300)
Total: 230.0
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota comes into this matchup playing some of its best basketball of the season. Seven wins in their last eight games has flipped the narrative, and the Timberwolves look far more comfortable closing games than they did earlier in the year. Home court has only amplified that confidence, and this game continues a stretch where Minnesota has taken care of business against quality opponents.
The Timberwolves have leaned on balance during this run. Even with some injury uncertainty, their depth has shown it can absorb extra minutes without losing structure. Defensive discipline has fueled transition chances, while late game decision making has noticeably improved. That matters when laying a sizable number like minus 7.5.
Minnesota’s offense has not relied on one player carrying the load. Instead, role players have stepped into bigger responsibilities and delivered. That ability to survive absences and still win by margin is exactly what bettors look for when backing a favorite at home.
Player Prop Pick Minnesota: Jaden McDaniels over 14.5 points – McDaniels’ offensive role has grown during Minnesota’s recent surge, especially with added minutes and defensive attention shifting elsewhere.
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis arrives competitive and dangerous, even without full lineup certainty. The Grizzlies have quietly steadied themselves, winning six of their last eight and showing they can still dictate pace with physical defense and inside scoring. They are not the same explosive team without their star guard at full strength, but they have adapted well.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has been the centerpiece of that adjustment. He has expanded his offensive game and become a matchup problem regardless of who lines up against him. Memphis has done a better job spacing the floor around him, allowing him to attack without forcing shots. That approach gives the Grizzlies a puncher’s chance to hang around against a strong Minnesota defense.
The challenge is consistency. Memphis has struggled to maintain efficiency for four full quarters, especially on the road. Falling behind early would force them to play uphill against a Minnesota team that thrives when protecting leads.
Player Prop Pick Memphis: Jaren Jackson Jr. over 19.5 points – Jackson’s expanded offensive role and mismatch advantage keep him heavily involved regardless of lineup changes.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
Minnesota is favored by 7.5 and the total sits at 230.0, signaling a game with pace but not reckless scoring. Expect Memphis to compete early through Jackson’s production, but Minnesota’s depth and defensive pressure should create separation by the second half.
If the Timberwolves control the boards and limit second chance points, they should pull away late. Memphis can score enough to keep the total alive, but Minnesota’s consistency at home gives them the edge.
Final Score: Timberwolves 118, Grizzlies 109
Lean: Minnesota -7.5
Total: Under 230.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
