Memphis (24-14) at Minnesota (20-17)
- When: Jan 11 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: FDSN
Minnesota enters Saturday night’s matchup as a 1.5-point favorite with the total set at 231.5 as they host the Memphis Grizzlies in what promises to be a fast-paced Western Conference showdown. Both teams have struggled to find consistency, making this a pivotal game for bettors looking for an edge.
Game Preview & Betting Analysis
The Timberwolves have had a streaky first half of the season, alternating between winning and losing runs. Over their last 12 games, they’ve experienced two three-game losing streaks, each followed by three-game winning streaks. Minnesota is looking to break that pattern and extend their current win streak to four.
Julius Randle, who has been a steady contributor, is optimistic about the team’s potential: “We’ve faced some tough competition, but I believe we’re due for a longer winning streak.”
On the other side, Memphis has also been inconsistent, going 6-6 over their past 12 games. They’ve alternated between wins and losses in their last three outings, falling to the Houston Rockets 119-115 at home on Thursday. Ja Morant, who returned from a shoulder injury in that game, scored 27 points but struggled with efficiency, shooting 9-of-22 from the field. Morant admitted that while his shoulder felt fine, adjusting to game speed remains a work in progress.
Key Matchups and X-Factors
Ja Morant vs. Anthony Edwards: Both dynamic guards can take over a game at any moment. Morant’s ability to drive to the basket and create plays is key, while Edwards’ scoring versatility makes him Minnesota’s biggest offensive weapon. Edwards is averaging 25.7 points per game and had three consecutive 30-point games before a quieter 21-point outing against Orlando.
Turnover Battle: Memphis has struggled with turnovers, averaging 17.4 per game—the second-most in the league. Desmond Bane emphasized the need for better ball security: “We need to maximize possessions to outpace our opponents.” If the Timberwolves can capitalize on Memphis’ mistakes, it could be the deciding factor.
Bench Production: Naz Reid’s 12.8 points per game off the bench for Minnesota provide crucial depth, and his scoring could give the Timberwolves an advantage, especially if the game becomes a grind.
Recent Trends
Minnesota’s Defense: The Timberwolves held Orlando to just 89 points on Thursday, showing their ability to clamp down on weaker offenses.
Memphis’ Road Woes: The Grizzlies have been inconsistent away from home, and their recent loss to Houston highlighted some defensive lapses in crunch time.
Betting Predictions
Spread Pick (-1.5): Minnesota’s home-court advantage and Edwards’ scoring ability make them the safer pick to cover the short spread. Memphis’ turnover issues and Morant’s gradual return to full speed could tip the scales in favor of the Timberwolves.
Total Pick (231.5): With both teams capable of scoring in transition but also prone to cold spells, the under is a strong consideration. If Minnesota’s defense remains sharp, this game may fall below the projected total.
Prop Bets to Watch:
Anthony Edwards over 28.5 points: Edwards has been on fire lately and could bounce back after a slightly off game.
Ja Morant under 24.5 points: Morant is still getting back into rhythm and could struggle against Minnesota’s perimeter defense.
Total turnovers over 32.5: Both teams have had turnover issues, making this an interesting prop for bettors.
Final Score Prediction:
Minnesota 114, Memphis 110. The Timberwolves’ defensive pressure and offensive depth should help them secure their fourth straight win. Expect Edwards to lead the charge while Memphis struggles to keep pace due to turnovers and Morant’s adjustment period. Minnesota should cover the spread and keep the total close to the under in what could be a gritty contest.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
