Miami (5-5) at NY Mets (7-3)
- When: Apr 8 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- Where to watch: FDSFL
MLB Betting Preview & Predictions: Marlins vs Mets
Moneyline: NY Mets -290 | Total: 7.0
The New York Mets enter Tuesday’s game looking to extend their five-game win streak as they host the Miami Marlins in Game 2 of this three-game set. New York has relied heavily on stellar pitching to overcome a slow start at the plate, and that formula has been working wonders.
Game Overview & Betting Angle
The Mets are heavy moneyline favorites at -290, with the total set at 7.0 runs. Given the Mets’ league-best 1.72 team ERA and Miami’s offensive struggles, oddsmakers are expecting another low-scoring affair.
Pitching Matchup
Clay Holmes (0-1, 2.89 ERA) will make his first home start in a Mets uniform. He’s coming off a solid outing where he allowed just one earned run across 4 2/3 innings. On the other side, Miami hands the ball to Connor Gillispie (0-1, 3.60 ERA), who held the Mets to a single run over five innings in their previous matchup last week — a game the Mets ultimately won 6-5 in extra innings.
New York Mets Outlook
While the bats haven’t quite heated up — New York has plated just 18 runs during their win streak — they’ve done just enough, thanks to elite pitching. Francisco Lindor sparked the offense with a three-hit performance on Monday, reaching the 1,500-hit milestone. The Mets are also thriving despite chilly temperatures, showcasing their ability to grind out close games.
Holmes will look to keep the momentum rolling against a Marlins team he’s handled well in the past (1-1, 3.07 ERA in 10 appearances). Expect the Mets to lean on him early to establish control and put pressure on Miami’s lineup.
Miami Marlins Outlook
The Marlins have dropped six of their last seven and continue to struggle with runners in scoring position, going just 1-for-13 in those situations on Monday. Sloppy base running has also plagued them, with two costly outs on the bases in their latest loss.
Gillispie has shown flashes of promise, but with the Mets’ rotation firing on all cylinders and Miami unable to capitalize on scoring chances, he’ll need near-perfection to keep this close.
Prediction
The Mets’ red-hot pitching and the Marlins’ inability to capitalize offensively make the home team the clear value pick. Even with New York’s limited run production, their ability to lock down opponents puts them in a strong position.
Pick: Mets -1.5 (-125)
Total: Under 7.0 (-110)
Projected Score: Mets 4, Marlins 1
Expect Holmes to control the tempo, while the Mets scratch across just enough offense to cover the run line and keep their win streak alive.
- MLB Odds source: MYBookie Sportsbook
